2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

Statefan10

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Sure but DePaul, and Iowa will be down, a far worse MTE tourney. Schedule a home and home with one of Marquette, Xavier, Nebraska, Minnesota, etc.
Beating Minnesota and probably Nebraska wouldn’t do much either though.
 

inCyteful

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Schedule is done per Rocco Miller--

11/6--Green Bay (NET 361)
11/9--Lindenwood (338)
11/12--Idaho State (252)
11/19--Grambling (186)
11/23-26-ESPN Events Invitational Orlando
12/1--at DePaul (155)
12/7--Iowa (38)
12/10--Prairie View A&M (281)
12/17--Florida A&M (359)
12/21--Eastern Illinois (345)
12/31-New Hampshire (267)

That's, um, underwhelming.
Oh ****, Eastern Illinois, hok friends are telling me to put that as an L. Really under estimated offensive juggernaut. You can't stop them, just contain them.
 
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inCyteful

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Schedule is done per Rocco Miller--

11/6--Green Bay (NET 361)
11/9--Lindenwood (338)
11/12--Idaho State (252)
11/19--Grambling (186)
11/23-26-ESPN Events Invitational Orlando
12/1--at DePaul (155)
12/7--Iowa (38)
12/10--Prairie View A&M (281)
12/17--Florida A&M (359)
12/21--Eastern Illinois (345)
12/31-New Hampshire (267)

That's, um, underwhelming.
Haven't seen Iowa's schedule but expect them to be around 10-0 with 30 pt avg margin of victory when play them. Sandfort will probably have All B1G locked down as well.
 

Sigmapolis

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Schedule is done per Rocco Miller--

11/6--Green Bay (NET 361)
11/9--Lindenwood (338)
11/12--Idaho State (252)
11/19--Grambling (186)
11/23-26-ESPN Events Invitational Orlando
12/1--at DePaul (155)
12/7--Iowa (38)
12/10--Prairie View A&M (281)
12/17--Florida A&M (359)
12/21--Eastern Illinois (345)
12/31-New Hampshire (267)

That's, um, underwhelming.

I know the Big 12/SEC challenge is ending.

But any juice to the rumor there might be a Big 12/Big Ten one at some point?

I love the one with the Big East. Having another with the Big Ten would be perfect.
 

CoachHines3

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Schedule is done per Rocco Miller--

11/6--Green Bay (NET 361)
11/9--Lindenwood (338)
11/12--Idaho State (252)
11/19--Grambling (186)
11/23-26-ESPN Events Invitational Orlando
12/1--at DePaul (155)
12/7--Iowa (38)
12/10--Prairie View A&M (281)
12/17--Florida A&M (359)
12/21--Eastern Illinois (345)
12/31-New Hampshire (267)

That's, um, underwhelming.
lets not forget we are guaranteed 3 games here with the following teams:

Virginia Tech (76)
Texas A&M (28)
Penn State (41)
VCU (53)
Boise State (29)
MAAC team that is currently TBD
 

Sigmapolis

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I think those of you who said TJ is taking it easy to start next season are correct.

Gonna have to make it back in the Big 12, though.

Puts some extra pressure on the Orlando tournament and the Iowa and DePaul games, too.
 

1UNI2ISU

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lets not forget we are guaranteed 3 games here with the following teams:

Virginia Tech (76)
Texas A&M (28)
Penn State (41)
VCU (53)
Boise State (29)
MAAC team that is currently TBD
And all of those teams, other than Boise, are likely to be worse than they were this year.

I know I come at it from a different angle than you guys do but it's just bad for the sport. It's not healthy (and it's not an Iowa State issue) that you can buy 10 wins, go 7-11 in your league and be rewarded with a tournament berth. It's also not a whole lot of fun to be a fan paying full ticket prices for the vast majority of these games but alas, I'm just a guy on a message board.
 

cyclones500

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basslakebeacon.com
lets not forget we are guaranteed 3 games here with the following teams:

Virginia Tech (76)
Texas A&M (28)
Penn State (41)
VCU (53)
Boise State (29)
MAAC team that is currently TBD

Oddly, although this tournament field is weaker on-paper compared to PKI, it could be at least equal value for resume. (But that, too, is "on paper" based on 2022-23 rank, so who knows).
 

isufbcurt

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And all of those teams, other than Boise, are likely to be worse than they were this year.

I know I come at it from a different angle than you guys do but it's just bad for the sport. It's not healthy (and it's not an Iowa State issue) that you can buy 10 wins, go 7-11 in your league and be rewarded with a tournament berth. It's also not a whole lot of fun to be a fan paying full ticket prices for the vast majority of these games but alas, I'm just a guy on a message board.

I disagree. I find it very fun playing crappy teams and beating up on them.
 
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Statefan10

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And all of those teams, other than Boise, are likely to be worse than they were this year.

I know I come at it from a different angle than you guys do but it's just bad for the sport. It's not healthy (and it's not an Iowa State issue) that you can buy 10 wins, go 7-11 in your league and be rewarded with a tournament berth. It's also not a whole lot of fun to be a fan paying full ticket prices for the vast majority of these games but alas, I'm just a guy on a message board.
With how crazy the Big 12 league play has been lately I don’t care at all that we aren’t playing a couple top 10 teams in the non con. I for one think going 7-11 in a good league is better than going 11-7 in a bad one and that’s why the NET is there to correct those things.
 

cyclones500

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Not like I expected a whole lot anyway beyond what we already knew (CyHawk, early-season tournament and BEast-BIg12), but losing the B12/SEC doesn't help. And we got about the worst opponent possible for BE-B12 Battle.
 

Cyclonepride

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And all of those teams, other than Boise, are likely to be worse than they were this year.

I know I come at it from a different angle than you guys do but it's just bad for the sport. It's not healthy (and it's not an Iowa State issue) that you can buy 10 wins, go 7-11 in your league and be rewarded with a tournament berth. It's also not a whole lot of fun to be a fan paying full ticket prices for the vast majority of these games but alas, I'm just a guy on a message board.
It's risk/reward. You can buy those easy wins, but you had better show up reasonably well in-conference, or you're missing the tournament. On the other side of the coin, you can stack your early schedule with quality opportunities, but if you don't take advantage and win enough of them, you could miss out too.
 

1UNI2ISU

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With how crazy the Big 12 league play has been lately I don’t care at all that we aren’t playing a couple top 10 teams in the non con. I for one think going 7-11 in a good league is better than going 11-7 in a bad one and that’s why the NET is there to correct those things.
It doesn't correct those things though. It rewards teams for running up 'efficiency' against bad teams at home in the non-conference and has that all baked in before league play ever starts so that you end up in situations where a team like Ohio State is a Quad 1 win in February when anyone with any common sense knows they aren't a good team.

It's not changing and I need to let it go but it just makes me mad every time it comes up.
 
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CyPunch

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Beating Minnesota and probably Nebraska wouldn’t do much either though.

Disagree. Big difference between low major sub 300 teams than bad power conference teams. Nebraska finished #94 on KenPom and Minnesota won't be historically bad every year. 5 of the teams on our schedule next year finished below 300.

This is a schedule we would of preferred in Otz's first year starting from ground zero. Not when we have a preseason fringe Top 25 team. Better hope we win these games by margin.
 

cyclones500

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A few series notables, not counting possible ESPN Events Invitational opponents (Source: cyclones.com):
  • ISU and DePaul have played one time: Dec. 20, 1967. Longest gap between games on this non-con schedule
  • ISU & Green Bay have played once, 1986. (2nd-longest gap)
  • It'll be ISU's first meeting vs. Lindenwood & New Hampshire. (The former makes sense, last season was its first in D-1).
 

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