Winter Storm: Thanksgiving Week Edition

The TC media were dead wrong. Through Saturday they were all saying don't believe the hype. It was tracking south and we were going to be dry until Friday.

10:00 pm news tonight: 'we are in a Winter Storm Watch. Expect at least 5 inches Tuesday into Wednesday. Don't travel Wednesday morning because of wind. Oh we also are getting snow Thursday night. And Friday. And next Saturday. And Sunday.'
 
The TC media were dead wrong. Through Saturday they were all saying don't believe the hype. It was tracking south and we were going to be dry until Friday.

10:00 pm news tonight: 'we are in a Winter Storm Watch. Expect at least 5 inches Tuesday into Wednesday. Don't travel Wednesday morning because of wind. Oh we also are getting snow Thursday night. And Friday. And next Saturday. And Sunday.'

Were they dead wrong or did the track change? Also I have a hard time believing any meteorologist would have given you a true forecast that far out.
 
Were they dead wrong or did the track change? Also I have a hard time believing any meteorologist would have given you a true forecast that far out.

From NWS Twin Cities Friday night. Obviously things have changed, but even then I was surprised they took this firm of a stance.

 
From NWS Twin Cities Friday night. Obviously things have changed, but even then I was surprised they took this firm of a stance.



That is quite surprising given the messaging from the offices in DSM and DVN. That being said this is one of my complaints with the NWS they are amazing at what they do but every now and then you see differences in offices like this.
 
That is quite surprising given the messaging from the offices in DSM and DVN. That being said this is one of my complaints with the NWS they are amazing at what they do but every now and then you see differences in offices like this.

I mean on last Friday the 12z, 00z, and 12 Thursday runs of the GFS had pretty much no precip in MN for this storm. Same deal with CMC for it's Friday runs. Even the Euro which was the most north of the models only really hit Rochester and points southeastward. The Saturday runs were really when the consensus started to shift back northwards.
 
I mean on last Friday the 12z, 00z, and 12 Thursday runs of the GFS had pretty much no precip in MN for this storm. Same deal with CMC for it's Friday runs. Even the Euro which was the most north of the models only really hit Rochester and points southeastward. The Saturday runs were really when the consensus started to shift back northwards.

Which is continuing this morning.
 
Here in Colorado they're calling for 6-16" in the Denver area for tonight into tomorrow. We leave for KC on Wednesday morning and will be at the game on Saturday. I'm hoping that far south will help with any precipitation
 
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Here in Colorado they're calling for 6-16" in the Denver area for tonight into tomorrow. We leave for KC on Wednesday morning and will be at the game on Saturday. I'm hoping that far south will help with any precipitation

Definitely not going to work tomorrow. Seems like a good day to practice my A/T skiing.
 
My wife is flying to London Tuesday afternoon, looks like she should be fine to get out of here.
 
Definitely not going to work tomorrow. Seems like a good day to practice my A/T skiing.

Thankfully, daughter's school is already on break. I'll just bring my laptop home with me and hope that the internet stays up.
 
Twin Cities in a warning now and most saying at least 7 inches. Looks like Ames/Boone/Des Moines are going to only get rain through Thursday?
 

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