I expect McCauley to step in and dominate.
I expect Spangler (if healthy) to be top 4.
I expect Gibson to not regress, with a healthy complement of the guys above him graduating this year.
I expect Finch, Goettl, and Beard to do better in their second years on the mat, but not a whole lot better.
I expect Moreno and Shafer to make some incremental improvements.
I expect Hallmann to be a little less bad.
I expect Molina/Tanner Weatherman/England to be decent.
Please explain why you think any of these are huge leaps of faith?
The issue isn't so much that any of them are huge leaps of faith. The issue is that for ALL of it to happen is a huge leap of faith. You're expecting mostly the same guys to go from 1 round of 12 and no AAs to multiple round of 12 and several AAs. That's what one would call a leap of faith.