Top team? Compete for the title? No. I'm surprised anyone realistically thinks that.
Here's what I expect the lineup to be for next year and the results. Please tell me where I am wrong.
125:
Finch will be back and I expect him to qualify and be R12, possibly low AA at nationals. He had problems this year with chain wrestling and fighting off the bottom. I expect that to be much better with a year under his belt.
133:
If it is Meeks, I expect qualifier and at least R12. If we redshirt Meeks I expect Hallman to be about the same as he was this year, though a little improved as a sophomore rather than a freshman.
141:
Goettl showed a lot of talent this year but also was inconsistent. As a sophomore I expect him to put that inconsistency behind him and be R12 or better. If Mayfield is able to return I expect him to push Goettl and make him better. Not having Max as a workout partner this year hurt
149:
McCauley was the top ranked recruit in the country last year and will have a year at the OTC under his belt. I expect him to be top 4.
157:
Moreno had a lot of "almost" this year but wasn't able to put it all together very often. Next year I expect him to be a solid, but not great, contributor. I expect him to qualify for NCAAs and win a match or two.
165/174
These two weight classes will be some combination of Spangler/England/Molina/Tanner Weatherman. If Spangler is able to come back and stay healthy I expect a top 4 finish from him and a qualifier and 2-2 or better performance from the other guy. If he isn't then I expect 2-2 or better from both weights.
184:
Beard was essentially a freshman who was out of wrestling shape this year and as such was plagued by lots of nagging injuries. With an offseason to get his body into wrestling shape and improve I expect him to be R12 or better next year.
197:
I won't bother to predict Gadsen because he is a total unknown both skill and healthwise. With an offseason to bulk up I expect Shafer to be similar to what he was last year at 184: Serviceable, qualifier, and probably going 1-2 at NCAAs
HWT:
Even with just the seniors graduating and assuming no big improvement, Gibson will move into AA contention. I expect him to qualify and be top 6 at least next year. He had trouble scoring on elite guys this season and I expect him to work on that this offseason and improve.
Basically I am expecting a minimum of 9 qualifiers and that they all will provide points, with a minimum of 2 guys in the semis and 3 AA plus multiple in R12. That is a top team right there that would only lose Spangler and Gibson for the following year. What am I missing that you are seeing?