Will Prohm ever win a championship?

They are actually about right where I thought they would be when looking at the team before the season but got there in a different way than I thought.
 
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It’s so stupid funny and sad that people won’t even admit to what they’re saying.

Every post is critical of the coach, pointing out flaws, and diminishing accomplishments.

But then they say, hey I’m not saying he should be fired. I just wasted minutes and hours of my life talking about how he’s bad, and we should be so much better, but he should keep his job.

Well, if he is so bad, then why do you want him to remain the coach?

This is spot ******* on. Also these are the fans that disregard anything Prohm did early because ‘well those were Fred players so...’. All that does when someone says something like that is tell me they’ve already made up their mind despite them trying not to act like they haven’t.
 
In 2014, Hoiberg lost to OU (32), Texas(41), WVU (58), KSU (45) to throw away the conference title.

In 2013, we lost to TTU (239!), Texas (94), and OU (51) to cost us the title. We were also swept by KU.
 
I checked out his record, its not actually that impressive. He only went to 1 NCAA tournament in 4 years at Murray, and thats with having NBA point guards running his offense. The year he was hired they hadn't even made the tourney in 3 years at that point.

Most mid-major coaches that get promoted like that are hired from continued tourney appearances over multiple years, or runs to the Sweet 16 level with a mid major team.

Another thing I noticed is his teams were terrible defensively at Murray, his first year they had a Top 30 defense, beyond that they were complete dumpster fires, so its actually not surprising to me his team is struggling to stop dribble penetration this year.

They got ****** CSP's last year at Murray. They should have gotten an at large bid...
 
Lol, who the hell wants a coaching change? I might have said it once out of frustration but everyone
This is very well put.

I am not to the point of suggesting Prohm be fired, or even on the hot seat. But I also don't see what he's accomplished over his first 3 years that would leave anyone thinking "he's 100 percent the guy."

I would characterize his first year as underachieving. I mean, that team had 5 dudes that would go on to see NBA minutes. Plus Matt Thomas who was no slouch. 23-12 regular season, 10-8 Big 12 and a Sweet 16 aided in part by having to play Iona and Arkansas Little Rock. I know he was in a tough spot inheriting "Fred's team", but it's hard to characterize that team as doing anything more than underachieving.

The 2016-2017 started off a little rough. But to Steve's credit he got that team playing well by the end of the year and but/for a tough start against Purdue really had developed that team into a tough out. I'll give him credit for that.

The 2017-2018 was horrible. I get the roster imbalance, and I get the young roster. But really these are the types of years that shouldn't happen if you consider yourself a basketball school. Middle of the Big 12 fighting for a spot on the bubble is one thing, dead last in the conference is another.

So far this year I think it's been fluid. I think expectations were tempered early on until we realized what we had in Tyrese, THT, Shayok and Jacobson. Once you realized how good those 4 were, and added in Babb, Lard and Wiggy, expectations shifted. Several national pundits said we were the most talented team in the Big 12. At moments we looked that way. So a team that was projected to be mid-Big 12 and probably at or near the bubble suddenly was a contender. It's fair to then shift your own expectations to that. And just when it looked like we had a chance the wheels fell off.

As was stated before, I could handle if Kansas got hot or K State got hot and we lost a close race. But we've played ourselves right out of it, and I see the same thing going on over and over again. Teams outwork us on the boards, we can't stop the drive and we struggle to execute offensively. And I guess I just don't see what Prohm is doing to change any of that.

The next month will be very, very important for Prohm going forward. If we limp into the conference tournament, maybe make a semifinal and get knocked out in the first round of the tournament I think he will have done quite a bit of damage to his goodwill around here. If it works out like the 2016-2017 team does where they get hot at the right time, win some late regular season games and win some tournament games, I think he will have done much more to earn himself the benefit of the doubt. But if I were to characterize the first 3+ years they would get a resounding "meh".

Characterizing a Sweet 16 team as ISU as underachieving is pretty unrealistic. One team has gone further in 75 years.
To look at that roster and think the talent is such that a Sweet 16 is underachieving is pretty silly to me. Jr. Monte has worked his way into a valuable rotational player in the NBA. Burton wasn't eligible until the 2nd semester. Niang was obviously great. But basically you've got a rotational NBA guy and a couple that if they are lucky might be journeymen. Yes, that team had good players, but when you compare it to what teams typically have across CBB, either in terms of recruiting rankings or what they do in the NBA, it doesn't jump out as being loaded with talent. Certainly not to the level that anybody would say that a #4 seed and Sweet 16 were underachieving, especially with a change in coaches.

We had two consecutive years where the No. 1 overall pick in the NBA, including a generational talent in Ben Simmons, did not even sniff the tournament.

As for this year, I understand the frustration with the losses, but these are to teams that are going to make the tournament. Yesterday Villanova gets housed by a team probably struggling to make the NIT. Villanova returns two starters and two bench role players from the National Champs, got the most sought after grad transfer, and for perspective, THT would've been the 4th best recruit in their class this year. And they are probably going to be seeded similarly to ISU this year. That with a HOF coach, and a guy that cannot be argued is anything less than a top 5 coach in the country.

Given the random nature of the tournament, I think NCAA tourney seed is a good way to judge a coach. Right now ISU is looking at about a 5 seed, meaning in 4 years Prohm would have a 4, 5 and a 5. Orr never had a 5 or better. Floyd had one 5. Larry had two 2s, and missed the tournament his other three seasons. Fred had two 3s.
 
This team is still very good and that needs to be kept in mind even after the last few games. It is February 25th and we have lost two games by more than five points. Let me give everyone some context these are the numbers of games lost by five points or less. Overtime games are excluded.

2018-19 as of Feb. 24 (2)

2017-18: 14
2016-17: 5
2015-16: 4

2014-15: 4
2013-14: 6
2012-13: 6
2011-12: 10
2010-11: 8

You know why Kenpom likes this team because they are really good. The coaching debate should wait until after the season and as my posting history indicates I have concerns about our record in games decided by 5 points or less where play making and in-games are imperative but this team can compete with anyone when they are right.

Hopefully they take a step toward “getting right” tonight.
 
I mean JFC, in 2015 Fred got swept by Baylor and lost to Tech to throw away a Big 12 championship. The way Prohm is treated around here compared to Campbell and Hoiberg is incredibly unfair and honestly, I think people should maybe be more worried about him heading home instead of replacing him.

Give it time. The more coaches stay at a school the more harsh the criticism becomes as the program plateaus.
 
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I don't know. Maybe because everyone that's ever had a job had things they could do better. It's not all "promote or fire," or whatever black and white way you're painting it.

If that was what was actually being said, I’d agree with you.
 
Got it. Let's not look at actual performance data. Let's go with the yes of people who have next to zero clue what they're talking about.

I am just saying it doesn't mean anything if you are looking why you should keep or get rid of a coach. It is a predictive measure. At the end of the day what matters is wins and losses not how high you finished the season in ken pom. Banners aren't hung for your kenpom ranking. I love kenpom and other efficiency models but theoretically you could have a horrible win loss record but have a great efficiency rating. Hey guys I know we didn't make the tournament, but look at our Kenpom rating!
 
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Characterizing a Sweet 16 team as ISU as underachieving is pretty unrealistic. One team has gone further in 75 years.
To look at that roster and think the talent is such that a Sweet 16 is underachieving is pretty silly to me. Jr. Monte has worked his way into a valuable rotational player in the NBA. Burton wasn't eligible until the 2nd semester. Niang was obviously great. But basically you've got a rotational NBA guy and a couple that if they are lucky might be journeymen. Yes, that team had good players, but when you compare it to what teams typically have across CBB, either in terms of recruiting rankings or what they do in the NBA, it doesn't jump out as being loaded with talent. Certainly not to the level that anybody would say that a #4 seed and Sweet 16 were underachieving, especially with a change in coaches.

We had two consecutive years where the No. 1 overall pick in the NBA, including a generational talent in Ben Simmons, did not even sniff the tournament.

As for this year, I understand the frustration with the losses, but these are to teams that are going to make the tournament. Yesterday Villanova gets housed by a team probably struggling to make the NIT. Villanova returns two starters and two bench role players from the National Champs, got the most sought after grad transfer, and for perspective, THT would've been the 4th best recruit in their class this year. And they are probably going to be seeded similarly to ISU this year. That with a HOF coach, and a guy that cannot be argued is anything less than a top 5 coach in the country.

Given the random nature of the tournament, I think NCAA tourney seed is a good way to judge a coach. Right now ISU is looking at about a 5 seed, meaning in 4 years Prohm would have a 4, 5 and a 5. Orr never had a 5 or better. Floyd had one 5. Larry had two 2s, and missed the tournament his other three seasons. Fred had two 3s.

I think NBA talent is not the best way to always judge a college basketball team. Let me ask you would you have have rather had Markelle Fultz leading your team or Buddy Hield, Niang, Frank Mason or Jevon Carter? I wouldn’t have taken Fultz over any of those 4 on my college team. The fact Niang is a journeyman doesn’t mean that he was anything other than elite in college.
 
This team is still very good and that needs to be kept in mind even after the last few games. It is February 25th and we have lost two games by more than five points. Let me give everyone some context these are the numbers of games lost by five points or less. Overtime games are excluded.

2018-19 as of Feb. 24 (2)

2017-18: 14
2016-17: 5
2015-16: 4

2014-15: 4
2013-14: 6
2012-13: 6
2011-12: 10
2010-11: 8

You know why Kenpom likes this team because they are really good. The coaching debate should wait until after the season and as my posting history indicates I have concerns about our record in games decided by 5 points or less where play making and in-games are imperative but this team can compete with anyone when they are right.

Hopefully they take a step toward “getting right” tonight.

So we are good in spite of prohm.
 
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I mean JFC, in 2015 Fred got swept by Baylor and lost to Tech to throw away a Big 12 championship. The way Prohm is treated around here compared to Campbell and Hoiberg is incredibly unfair and honestly, I think people should maybe be more worried about him heading home instead of replacing him.

This is the best post in this dumb thread. Hoiberg was great, but some people can't admit the guy ever lost a game, let alone in the 1st round of the Tourney with one of the most talented teams we have ever had.
 
I would characterize his first year as underachieving. I mean, that team had 5 dudes that would go on to see NBA minutes. Plus Matt Thomas who was no slouch. 23-12 regular season, 10-8 Big 12 and a Sweet 16 aided in part by having to play Iona and Arkansas Little Rock. I know he was in a tough spot inheriting "Fred's team", but it's hard to characterize that team as doing anything more than underachieving.

I'll agree the team, on paper, should have gone further. Iirc there was only 6 players that played. Only 2 bigs, with McKay having serious issues.
Burton was the 6th man in, but only played 2nd semester and had major motivation issues. That's it.
Any foul trouble and we were hosed.
 
So we are good in spite of prohm.

No, I think this is a really good team that has a lot in front of it to achieve. Need to win close games and that falls on the players and the staff both. I think the data indicates we could still accomplish some great things this year. Sorry I’m not engaging in the “cat fighting” for the next month. I’m going to enjoy the last few games with this squad and then we have the entire off-season to evaluate the season (coaching) and the roster make-up decisions.
 
I agree with aeroclone but to me it seems like they are missing a leader. We had that in spades with Niang, Monte and Naz. Babb should be that guy but I don't see that being his personality. Jacobson could be that but he's not on the court as often. I see Haliburton being that leader but as he's a freshman, he might not see that as his role.
 
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