***Unofficial Confidence Check: Will We Make the NCAA Tourney 12/15/21**
- Thread starter PSYclone22
- Start date
This, times a thousand.
Yes, this success was unexpected but the fact is (as you illustrate above) we are in phenomenal shape here with our current resume to go dancing.
The way I see it is this: If we stay relatively healthy and continue to play at this level we'll add significantly to our resume with conference play and be looking at a high seed. If we get banged up with injuries where guys have to miss games, then we'll be looking at a lower seed. I honestly don't see this team losing focus and intensity, so I don't see that as an issue going forward.
I would hope all our fans would be ecstatic about ISU hoops right now. I know I am.
7-11 and we’re 100% in. NET rankings of Big 12 are insane. Memphis, Xavier and Iowa continuing to win will help too.
But that 6 game stretch to open Big 12 play is BRUTAL. Gotta go 2-4.
But that 6 game stretch to open Big 12 play is BRUTAL. Gotta go 2-4.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
Xavier is definitely a great neutral floor win. Memphis almost certainly will be. Creighton is a nice road win. Iowa will probably crap the bed, as they are wont to do, but still probably a good win.
We had a lot to do with Memphis and Iowa both looking bad though. Our defense is smothering and teams have to work really hard to get good looks and that is exhausting for most teams. Defense travels and this squad can survive poor shooting nights which is huge. Knowing that we don't have to go out and score 80 points in order to have a shot is pretty damn refreshing.
I think, if ISU can sustain the way they've played so far, they are more than likely going to make it and will feel solid about it going into Big XII tournament weekend. I see us as about a 5th or 6th place finisher in the league this year. I'm hopeful the Magic can keep us 7-2 at home.
I totally agree. I spoke to TJ and told him that in 50 years of going to ISU BB games I have never seen better defense.
Memphis is likely end up being a quality win as I assume they may right their ship - they may have already started. My only point was when we played them they were a mess. After we beat them they lost to Georgia, Mississippi and Murray State. Penny called them out publically. We are a true team. They were playing like a bunch of selfish NBA wanna be’s. The focus of our guys is incredible. Iowa, based upon a one game observation, as I boycott them, is soft. I want Creighton, Memphis and Xavier to do well as it will help us. I hope iowa never wins another game.
If we can continue this intensity and don't lose players to injury or other issues: 95%
If we burn out or have player issues, the percentage drops significantly and quickly.
Every game we win is one step closer!!
If we burn out or have player issues, the percentage drops significantly and quickly.
Every game we win is one step closer!!
#11 defense on kenpom and we’ve played Iowa. ELITE
Xavier was without their best player, and Memphis has underperformed big time. The Creighton win is a very good one. I am not saying they are not going to make it. I'm just saying that the teams that they have beaten looked a lot better before the season started.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
We also beat Xavier pretty handily, which I think offsets what they were missing to an extent.
I know I'm super late to this thread, but with potentially being 13-0 in non con (we play Mizzou later for the Big 12/SEC challenge), worst case scenario for getting into the tourney is probably 7-11 in conference with an immediate loss in the Big 12 tourney putting us at 20-12...with our non con wins, I feel like that's good enough to get in...anything more than that is even better
The way we've been playing, you gotta think 95-100%.
Especially if we get Tre winter semester. That would be huge for team and depth.
Predict 9-10 conference wins now. 24-10 prior to NCAA. 26-10 (or11) final record! Need to stay healthy. That would be phenomenal.
Especially if we get Tre winter semester. That would be huge for team and depth.
Predict 9-10 conference wins now. 24-10 prior to NCAA. 26-10 (or11) final record! Need to stay healthy. That would be phenomenal.
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Strength of schedule is meaningless unless you win the games. I'm at 80% because a lot can happen - injuries, better coaching in league, and whether our effort can be sustained. If we make it, I'm guessing a 5 seed.
I'm going with 0% so we can make it.
Scratch that, make it 1%. Don't want to make it obvious to the basketball gods.
Scratch that, make it 1%. Don't want to make it obvious to the basketball gods.
^This. So far so good and WAY better than we could have expected. However, dat conference schedule is going to be a slog. Will have to be really good and a bit of luck and good fortune would help, like not having anyone sick or injured.
The committee will not consider that Xavier did not have their best player when they look at our résumé. We need Memphis to keep winning
