I mean you can throw around ifs all we want. We are talking about a coach that lost to UAB in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Fred's teams played no defense so its nearly impossible to say we would have won it all.
In college basketball winning a national title takes getting hot in March. Really you need to be elite either offensively or defensively. It is extremely helpful to be good at the other too.
in Fred’s 5years he made the tournament 4/5 years and one at least a game in 3/4 tournaments. He also had some tough luck in the tournament. Royces year we got stuck playing one of the best Kentucky teams. In the sweet sixteen year of Georges doesn’t break his foot we all think we had a good shot at minimum to the final four if not the championship. The UAB loss was bad but upsets happen. Compare this to Prohm who starts out with two of the most talented teams in school history (even with the flaws people point out). He made the sweet sixteen his first year but that felt like just meeting expectations. The next year he only got to the round of 32. In those two years he only beat double digit seeds. Then you had the next year which was a struggle and he gets a fair amount of a pass for that. Last year he had another really talented team. They did win the Big 12 tournament but aside from that they had a pretty disappointing year plus a bad end by losing to OSU.
I don’t dislike Prohm I think he seems to be a great guy. I want him to succeed immensely. I have seen no evidence that he can though.