Round of 32 Thread

Nova underperformed their seed by three rounds. We did by two. And second year in a row that they did that.

I thought about that, and how it would be possible to develop a “Relative Upset Calculator.”

I have no actual “calculation” for this, of course.

Through 2.5 rounds (I’m not counting play-in), these are the upsets, based on seeding, and how I would rank them on the Upset Calculator, most-to-least surprising:
1. (8) N.C. State over (1) Villanova
2. (14) UAB over (3) Iowa State
3. (14) Georgia State over (3) Baylor
4. (11) UCLA over (6) SMU
5. (11) Dayton over (6) Providence
6. (10) Ohio State over (7) VCU
 
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can probably chalk in the winner coming from the left side of the bracket. Or just Kentucky.
 
Apparently Mike Brey's mother died Saturday morning. Yeesh. I'll be rooting hard for them the rest of the way, Brey is a classy guy.
 
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I'm pretty sure 18 of my 16 are wrong at this point.

oooooooooooo I missed that Utah beat Gtown! I had that one, at least!


2 of my 3 sweet 16 misses are obvious Baylor and ISU, the other miss was nova. Should of learned my lesson after last year.
 
My predictions on who wins:
MSU
Duke
Kansas
Dayton
Gonzaga
WVU
Wisconsin
Louisville

Looks reasonable. But I've been wrong about 33% of the time so far, so I'm not a good judge.

I'll go:
Virginia
Duke
Wichita State
Dayton
Gonzaga
Maryland
Wisconsin
Louisville

At least one 7 will advance. Michigan State looks like a better bet than WSU, but since I haven't nailed an upset pick other than N.C. State, I assume I'm wrong and went the other way. I'm hoping Iowa isn't the 7, but I wouldn't rule it out.
 
I thought about that, and how it would be possible to develop a “Relative Upset Calculator.”

I have no actual “calculation” for this, of course.

Through 2.5 rounds (I’m not counting play-in), these are the upsets, based on seeding, and how I would rank them on the Upset Calculator, most-to-least surprising:
1. (8) N.C. State over (1) Villanova
2. (14) UAB over (3) Iowa State
3. (14) Georgia State over (3) Baylor
4. (11) UCLA over (6) SMU
5. (11) Dayton over (6) Providence
6. (10) Ohio State over (7) VCU

NC State over Villanova is not even close to as big of an upset as UAB was over ISU IMO.
 
We beat 6 teams that are in the Round of 32.

Didn't realize that.

It's both encouraging and depressing.

A question for you, it'll save me the research time and you'll provide an answer more quickly: Prior to this year, when was the most-recent tournament with no 12 vs. 5 upset, but at least one 8-over-1 or 9-over-1 upset?

Gut tells me it was 2000, but maybe there was at least another since then.