What are you talking about "independence is much more likely than a superconference?" If the biggest universities actually thought there was any money in doing it they would have done it a long time ago. And don't use Notre Dame as an example - Notre Dame can get away with independence because they are a legitimate national brand. No matter how big the brands of Michigan, Ohio St, Alabama, or Texas are, they are still much more regional brands. Sure, Michigan and Ohio St might have more national cache than Alabama and Texas (who are mostly outright hated outside of their regions), but it doesn't even come close to comparing to the national cache that Notre Dame has.