Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

Who said divest away from football? Not me
You're the guy saying the sky is falling and we'll be nothing more than UNI. Even though we'll be playing with mostly the same players, have access to great coaches, have historical fan support of 60k people at Jack Trice and playing teams like: K-State, Okie State, Arizona, Colorado, TCU, Louisville, etc.

I'm not pushing ISU drops out of competing at the CFP level, but we may not have a choice depending on where college football is headed. Do you know with 100 percent certainty? I don't.

I see basically three general paths forward:
  • Cruz & Cantwell get their legislation passed and Big10/SEC agree to negotiate a single CFB media rights deal. Hopefully, that means a financial windfall for schools like Iowa State.
  • Status quo. The P4 remains and each conference negotiates their own TV deal. We continue to see a wide disparity of what schools pay from among their combined House Settle Fund and in-house NIL funds. That means schools like Iowa State are paying it's football players around $13-15M annually and some teams in the Big10/SEC are paying it's football players north of $50M annually. Basically the MLB salary structure where Iowa State will be the Twins, Royals, Rays, Athletics, etc. And schools like Ohio State, Texas Michigan, A&M will be the Yankees/Dodgers.
  • Big10/SEC breakaway. When Big10/SEC media rights come up for renewal (or it makes sense for their media partners) those 2 conferences continue to add attractive schools from Big12 & ACC. This would probably mean the Big12/ACC combine at some point and would likely have a negative impact on the Big12/ACC media rights deal. But it won't be a total implosion because we're talking schools like Iowa State, K-State, BYU, Va Tech, Louisville, Syracuse, etc.
If Pollard, Cook and other Big12/ACC leadership aren't considering what the last scenario entails, they wouldn't be doing their job. Heck, it's Jamie who said maybe the Big12/ACC should walk. I'd like to hope at worst, the status quo continues. And money isn't everything and Iowa State can be like the Tampa Rays with a low payroll and solid results on the field.

But the question would be: if ISU made the CFP, would we be competitive. Because I have concerns what happened to our roster last fall, will happen to a lesser degree every off-season because ISU has $15M to spend on players and there will be 20+ schools willing to spend $50M+. As Rogers develops players like: McDonald, Purdy, Kolar, Jontez Williams, Noel, Braymer, etc., at rthe first sign of their elite talent, they will jump ship for the big money.
Without the current funding or close, how can ISU and other teams compete with teams from the B10 and SEC? They can't and this idea that they can just cut back and will be fine is not going to happen. Because
we have two choices here, either move down to the Mid American level or stay in the fight and keeping trying to improve things.

Once you drop down there is no going back, and money for other programs start to drop, because football is funding most of this, so unless you plan to become Creighton or be like UCONN that is now reinvesting in football its not happening.
 
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Like JP said, if you’re leaving, you’re fully leaving

No benefits of separation without the costs. We will all burn this thing down if the P2 feels it’s time to do so

 
The SEC is so dependent on ESPN

If BIG locks up OTA again in 2029, ACC may get cut to save SEC


In related news on ESPN trying to shed costs, according to the ACC fans wanting to grab some Big 12 teams, they have a "cash cow" network (ACCN). Wrong. Having crummy football teams shown on it plus showing unprofitable minor sports doesn't sound like a cash cow. Sounds like a loss.
 
In related news on ESPN trying to shed costs, according to the ACC fans wanting to grab some Big 12 teams, they have a "cash cow" network (ACCN). Wrong. Having crummy football teams shown on it plus showing unprofitable minor sports doesn't sound like a cash cow. Sounds like a loss.
If ACCN was such a cash cow, ACC payouts would be significantly higher than the B12's.

But the B12 adding UCF and UH can continue to be questioned as this article discusses the ongoing dilution factor with B12 payouts:

 
In related news on ESPN trying to shed costs, according to the ACC fans wanting to grab some Big 12 teams, they have a "cash cow" network (ACCN). Wrong. Having crummy football teams shown on it plus showing unprofitable minor sports doesn't sound like a cash cow. Sounds like a loss.
It is definitely a plus right now though

I don’t know if espn benefits from prematurely ending it. Adding CA and Texas has been good. Adding more new markets through 2036 could make sense
 
The idea of either the Big 12 or ACC poaching the other is silly.

The Big 10 and SEC are going to take what they want out of the ACC, and then the leagues will merge into a third entity that probably demands inclusion in the playoff, but makes less money (kinda like they exist now). The Wake Forests and BCs of the world might just bail at that point. Maybe not.

The conference model as we knew it serves no purpose any more. It means nothing.
 
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