I follow YourMovieSucks.com on YouTube, and I feel like he a REAL movie critic (opinion I take seriously) and he's given that movie a 10/10, which is the only one I've ever seen him give (within recent memory). I wouldn't be shocked to see Willem Dafoe get an Oscar nom for this.
Best Supporting Actor (which is the category Dafoe would be in) is absolutely stacked this year. He probably deserves a nom but look at who he's up against:
Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time...in Hollywood
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
Christian Bale (Ford v Ferrari...probably should be placed in lead actor but they're putting him here)
Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)
Wesley Snipes (Dolemite is My Name) Yes this is a real thing and many think he's a lock
And those are just the ones most industry insiders think have the best shot. At this point, Pitt and Pacino and Hanks are basically locked in. That leaves two spots for all those others. What a crazy impressive list of actors.