People thinking Phoenix are going to be disappointed. In order to go there we have to miss out on two NY6/playoff teams and be the last Big 12 team picked. It’s just not happening.
If Utah beats Oregon (or LSU loses to UGA or OSU loses to Wisky) and OU beats Baylor then OU would be the only Big 12 Team in the NY6. In order to get to Big 12 teams to the NY6 we either need:
OU to beat Baylor and make the playoffs
or
Baylor to beat OU and hope that OU still gets a NY6