***Official 2026 World Cup Thread***

58% chance its Bosnia. The following round its 26% Belgium and 20% Egypt. The US has a 53% chance of making the quarterfinals.
As I understand it, we almost certainly get the Bosnia-Qatar winner in the Round of 32 if one of them win. Not sure who would be better. Such a weird system.
 
If you haven't taken time to watch some of the videos of Europeans thoughts on the US during the World Cup, I'd recommend checking them out. Pretty complimentary of America and some are pretty funny.
 
As I understand it, we almost certainly get the Bosnia-Qatar winner in the Round of 32 if one of them win. Not sure who would be better. Such a weird system.

Have you figured out how the 3rd place teams are placed? I see that there are several groups each spot can come from. And I assume there are some sort of logic behind those groups. But it seems there would be more than just one game deciding it if the spots are based on which groups get a 3rd place teams? Or maybe the 3rd place teams are more set than I realized.
 
Have you figured out how the 3rd place teams are placed? I see that there are several groups each spot can come from. And I assume there are some sort of logic behind those groups. But it seems there would be more than just one game deciding it if the spots are based on which groups get a 3rd place teams? Or maybe the 3rd place teams are more set than I realized.
It’s very pre-determined, but good luck figuring out. The short answer is that the slots are already pre-determined depending on what groups the 3rd places come from. There is no ranking among the 3rd places, and what matters is which combination of groups they came from. Link below, page 19 and Annex C has the info.


 
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