Same. Although I think it's because Williams already had the Fr to So transition without an increase in production. However, it's interesting to note Williams only played 16 games his first year, and 22 his second, so 38 total. Hunter played 35 games last year.
Likewise on using a freshman-sophomore to extrapolate.
The odd thing is had that been a 5th year prep year instead of 16 games on one of the most ineffective offenses in a conference basically at the P12 level, I’d be more prone to think growth.
I think it’s still correct to use the lack of change as a reason to temper growth expectations, but Hunter’s expectations are based more in not having as much to go on. It’s reasonably possible he would also struggle to show stat growth as COVID sophomore while in a bad offense and dealing with an injury(?).
Great point about the game count. When did he injure the shoulder?