Here is my thinking. First, the "C'mon, it's Kansas" argument doesn't do much for me. North Carolina, Kentucky, and Michigan State have all gone through down years in recent history, what makes Kansas immune? They lose the 2 guys that shouldered the majority of scoring and rebounding last year, three of their veteran guards and (arguably) their most talented guard in Selby. With Robinson's recent legal troubles there is no garuntee that he doesn't jump as well. Tyshawn Taylor is back, but that doesn't do a whole lot for me considering his inconsistency and his troubles with Self.
That leaves Kansas with one solid post who may or may not be back for sure (Robinson), a headcase of a point guard who can't seem to get along with his coach and knows he has one year to up his draft stock, and a few young players who have seen extremely limited time in games.
The recruiting class is decent so far, but fairly average by Kansas standards. I know they are in on a few late five stars, and maybe my opinion on them will change once I see what they can bring in, but as of now I just don't see it.