EIU basketball is a good not a great job, they have had in the past a good home court crowd, just not the past few years. Their fan base is done with Fran, after 15 years they know he will tease them with making a run, and then the end, will fall flat on their faces. Give a new guy a year to get his people in, start playing defense and its a good job, is what I am saying.
I suppose some elements come down to what you think the Iowa fanbase would do with a new face and if they started winning again. Are they just completely checked out on Iowa basketball now? Have they missed developing a "new generation" of Hawkeye basketball fans with Fran's boring mediocrity?
Or are they desperate for a winner and, once they start winning, CHA is going to fill up (much as it did with the Clarkies) and Iowa basketball could be dangerous going forward? They've been very good in the now distant past, and TJ and McD have shown you can build winning programs just down the road.
I honestly don't know, but I would guess more "sleeping giant" than "dead in the ditch." You could say something similar about a number of Big Ten schools with basketball, though, like Minnesota.