Read the long post. I'll provide a shorter version here. He has seen what works at Iowa State. He has extensive P5 experience which I think is a big deal for me. He has basically the stereotypical resume of what it takes to be successful here IMO.
Before this year I would have taken him pretty much no questions asked. I thought he was the better choice when we hired Prohm and he had done nothing, but further that opinion every year before this year. He was extremely successful in keeping and expanding on the success at SDSU. He took over a harder situation than I think people give credit. Nagy had been there 20 years and was that program. He took UNLV to 2nd place in his first year. Even in his first "bad" year they were still competitive and show promise. It has given me pause in that I think you need a full search, but I think it maybe gives us a buy low opportunity as I still think he will be a P6 coach in the next couple of years.
The other candidates have their own flaws. DeVries has coached at two places ever and only P6 experience. Smith has some P5 experience but only a couple of years and at Nebraska. Nagy has only a couple of years P5 experience 30 years ago. Matta and Beilein are to expensive and to old for me. I just am not seeing anyone who is clearly better. There are alternatives, but I don't think anyone is clearly better.