The Thunder are built to be a great regular season team. They blitz teams with their 'physicality',intensity, and speed. Having a one-off game in January is a lot different than seeing the same team for 2 weeks straight. I think we're seeing the Pacers get comfortable and settled in. The Thunder are going to need to find some new answers, because 'playing harder' isn’t getting it done.
The bench has been the difference in the series. OKC 'plays 10,' but really only 7 play real minutes with 4 playing at or near 40, whereas Indy has 9 guys playing over 15 and no one over 36. In every game OKC has gassed hard in the 4Q. They can't play with the same level of intensity all game and Indy trusts their bench to be able to weather the storm and keep it close.
I'm especially optimistic because Indy is due to have a hot shooting game. I'm not sure OKC is mature enough to stay in the fight if Indy can land a haymaker in game 4.
Shai is the only one around 40mpg and they still are playing their 10, but that minutes distribution has changed and is problematic for them particularly, in the backcourt. Wiggins and Joe played ~45mpg combined in the regular season and that has slowly worked down to ~20mpg in the finals. Those minutes are being picked up by Shai playing 40mpg, Dort playing 32+ and Caruso playing ~30mpg vs. 20mpg in the regular season.
Now it's the finals... you want your best players on the floor no doubt. That said, they play with such defensive intenstiy on the premiter that it's no wonder they are getting worn down without giving Shai/Dort/Caruso more rest.
This one is really in the weeds, but Wiggins/Joe were also two of OKC's most available players all year from a games played perspective. One, or both, of those guys was on the court for 68.3% of OKC's minutes in the regular season. That's dropped to 44.4% of the time in the playoffs. So you're talking about a lot of minutes for other line-up combinations that didnt play together as much during their great regular season.
Just interesting stuff about minutes/lineup management, which is where Rick Carlisle is a BIG advantage on the Pacers' side against Daigneault.