Race is getting a bit tighter at least! Still some catching up to do metric wise. Baylor had a pretty good jump as well as I assume most expected.
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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- bracketology cyclones net quad rankings
Houston is still the heavy Big 12 favorite but we are in 2nd
Houston -150
ISU +500
KU +600
Baylor +850
TCU +900
Texas Tech +2500
BYU +3500
Houston -150
ISU +500
KU +600
Baylor +850
TCU +900
Texas Tech +2500
BYU +3500
almost worth putting some money down on us or KU
I'm guessing if we got to play them in Ames for our next game with them, those odds would be a whole lot closer.
I think it just speaks to how good Houston is. Still #1 in every metric and they will be favored in every game they play the rest of the season.
It will be where it ranks when the committee sits down to do it in March (not now or then).
They're also not supposed to give credit for late-season "momentum." Losses to iffy VT and TAMU teams without Ward while they Cyclones were still "figuring it out" (like most teams at that point in the season) count just as much as the heart of the Big 12 schedule like the games right now.
I'm not sure what's going on with that graph, but those probabilities don't add up. Maybe I'm just too dumb to understand.
I mean, what you say is true for the NET, but the committee can factor in injuries and really whatever else they want. The NET is just one tool they have for evaluation. It's still a subjective process at the end of the day.
Finding a way to pull off the Baylor game would’ve been really friggin HUGE.
There is a chart below the 2 I showed that has percentages for a share of the title. That is what he uses for the graph.
https://bboilercbb.github.io/conferences/B12/index.html
Yeah, but a 1-1 split on a road trip like that isn't too disappointing.
Well, just going to have to keep winning games with the Houston game on the road circled as the one to play for a conference championship. I think finishing out 7-2 from here gets you a share of the title and if one of those seven is Houston, you will be able to argue you won it outright and will have the #1 seed. ISU went 6-3 (.1 seconds from 7-2) with the heaviest weighted half of the schedule, hey, it could happen.
Can't be. I was told by a highly intelligent BYU Dad that they would win the conference.
Baylor is now disappointing in retrospect just because of how close/bizarre that game was. If you'd told me a week ago we will split this road trip, I'd be super-happy.
The Texas win is especially impressive because they showed a lot of resilience in coming right back from a heartbreaking loss that was a fraction of a second from being a win. That's exactly the kind of attitude on display that TJ talks about all the time.
In a way, the toughness of the league works to our advantage, as there really aren't any games where the guys can just expect to walk in and win. Not saying that our players would do that, but it's just a natural reaction to exhale a bit going into a game with an overmatched opponent.
Weathering the Disu storm was impressive.
Even if it looked like Disu traveled on half his scoring/got fouled plays.
its not just that they are #1. the gap between them and #2 enormous. they are favored in every remaining game by a lot, while ISU is favored in all remaining games except @HOU, but many of those games only have us favored by 1 or 2 points. Houston is favored by much more. it will take some real upsets and everything going right for ISU in order to even share the conference title.
