Four of the top eight seeds being Big 12 is amazing and 1 seed Arizona joining next year. I don’t expect we see this exactly by year end but damn is the Big 12 so good.
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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That was the first thing I noticed. 75% of the 1 seeds being future Big XII teams. I love Big XII basketball and I hate Big XII basketball.
One of the things to keep in mind is that the Big 12 is always much deeper than the other conferences so the distribution of wins/losses will pull the average down a bit. That happens every year between pre-conference and conference games with these projections.
The committee has become much more interested in the quality of your wins as opposed to the number of your wins over time, though. This is only going to lead to the B12 stuffing the top seeds.
5-1 probably isn't realistic.
3-3 would be good. 4-2 would be a great start. Our Big 12 schedule is quite front loaded.
I'm very intrigued by the BYU game. Kind of like us. Metrics darling, a couple decent wins but no great wins yet.
ISU metric rankings shown on the teamsheets given to the NCAA tournament committee:
Quad rankings:
Net - 8th
Net SOS - 257rd
Resume:
KPI - 87th
SOR - 51st
Avg- 69th
Predictive rankings:
BPI - 6th
KP - 18th
Avg - 12th
Additional predictive rankings: *
TR - 7th
massey - 24th
barttorvik - 16th
haslametrics - 6th
colley - 63rd
evanmiya - 15th
*Not sure if they replace Sagarin with a different advanced metric platform but here are some other rankings in that vein
Polls (not shown but fun to check):
AP - 33rd
Coaches - tied 32nd
Reddit - 32nd
Bracket Matrix - 8th seed
Quad rankings:
Net - 8th
Net SOS - 257rd
Resume:
KPI - 87th
SOR - 51st
Avg- 69th
Predictive rankings:
BPI - 6th
KP - 18th
Avg - 12th
Additional predictive rankings: *
TR - 7th
massey - 24th
barttorvik - 16th
haslametrics - 6th
colley - 63rd
evanmiya - 15th
*Not sure if they replace Sagarin with a different advanced metric platform but here are some other rankings in that vein
Polls (not shown but fun to check):
AP - 33rd
Coaches - tied 32nd
Reddit - 32nd
Bracket Matrix - 8th seed
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Although it's bound to change some throughout the season, I think ISU has 9 Q1a games on the Big 12 schedule. (A&M game still considered in that category, it's close to Q1a/b borderline)
Doesn't really matter at this point, but we received 20 votes in this week's AP Poll.
Wow, our schedule looks brutal right now. Who knew Oklahoma and BYU would be good? We play both twice. Our team is starting to play well, but just about every game will be a war! I hope, like I think Blum said, we win our home games at least.
I don’t see much letup in the back half. The only one I see that’s an easy win is ucf and even that’s in the road. The conf schedule is brutal.
There is no room for off nights in B12 BB, that is a recipe for a loss. On the other hand there will be a lot of great basketball games to watch.
We are now the 3rd fastest paced team in the Big XII. I was not expecting that
Neither was I. But so far it makes sense. We are not going to be as good defensively as before so need to leverage the increased offensive production to over come the decline on defense.
ISU has played zero games against currently ranked teams. They just had 25 turnovers and 17 fouls against Prairie View A&M - a team no one has even heard of before. The projections are meaningless right now.
ISU has sold out all conference home games except Houston and BYU, and those are nearly sold out. Hilton is going to be a difficult place to play for visitors in the league this year.
