***Official 2024 Weather Thread***

Man, the west coast of Florida is going to get walloped again.



Models yesterday were predicting it to go to a strong Cat 5 and then drop before landfall. Just a question of how much it weakens before landfall (hopefully a lot).
 
Currently doing Helene cleanup at my family’s place while simultaneously getting everything ready for Milton. Helene was just a big storm surge with lots of water where Milton will be a direct hit which means surge, wind, and rain. It’s been an eerie trip being around the cleanup while also preparing to evacuate at the same time.
We have a family friend that has a house on Anna Maria Island. Saw pictures yesterday from the damage after Helene and it looked fairly standard. This one could be Ian like for that area.
 
We have a family friend that has a house on Anna Maria Island. Saw pictures yesterday from the damage after Helene and it looked fairly standard. This one could be Ian like for that area.
I’m on Anna Maria as well. No actual storm damage from Helene. Just lots of piles in front of houses after water damage. Some houses had over 3 feet of water in it. Luckily my folks’ is elevated so just garage got water. South towards Bradenton beach are places that have 3-4 feet of sang in garage. It’s crazy to see sand piles everywhere like a snow storm. We had 15 inches of water in garage. Not enough to ruin car but enough to make everything a mess and ruin anything they had on ground.

Preparing for Milton means getting everything up higher in garage, car off island and parked at airport long term, tying everything down or throwing it in pool, and securing the boat to survive a nuclear blast.
 
I’m on Anna Maria as well. No actual storm damage from Helene. Just lots of piles in front of houses after water damage. Some houses had over 3 feet of water in it. Luckily my folks’ is elevated so just garage got water. South towards Bradenton beach are places that have 3-4 feet of sang in garage. It’s crazy to see sand piles everywhere like a snow storm. We had 15 inches of water in garage. Not enough to ruin car but enough to make everything a mess and ruin anything they had on ground.

Preparing for Milton means getting everything up higher in garage, car off island and parked at airport long term, tying everything down or throwing it in pool, and securing the boat to survive a nuclear blast.

Good luck to ya on AMI. I’m downtown Sarasota and am probably going to evacuate soon. I’m on the 5th floor, but this is starting to look like power might be out for a while situation.

St Armand Circle got flooded pretty good with Helene and this surge is projected to be worse.

I have a feeling this evacuation is going to be big mess getting away from the storm, hopefully not.
 
  • Friendly
Reactions: NWICY
Things can change, but current forecast path looks like a direct hit on Tampa Bay. NE side of hurricanes are usually the worst, so that will compound problems.
 
Things can change, but current forecast path looks like a direct hit on Tampa Bay. NE side of hurricanes are usually the worst, so that will compound problems.

Pretty much their nightmare scenario, especially if it doesn't weaken (a bit) before landfall like it is currently forecast to
 
Good luck to ya on AMI. I’m downtown Sarasota and am probably going to evacuate soon. I’m on the 5th floor, but this is starting to look like power might be out for a while situation.

St Armand Circle got flooded pretty good with Helene and this surge is projected to be worse.

I have a feeling this evacuation is going to be big mess getting away from the storm, hopefully not.
Be safe!! Agree this looks like a week or more no power.

Luckily my evacuation plan is to get to Sarasota airport and on a plane back home tomorrow morning. Got lucky on timing as obviously didn’t know Milton was happening when I booked flights.

9 news channel showed some of the interstates heading out of area and they already look busy!!!
 
  • Like
  • Friendly
Reactions: NWICY and Jammin’
Be safe!! Agree this looks like a week or more no power.

Luckily my evacuation plan is to get to Sarasota airport and on a plane back home tomorrow morning. Got lucky on timing as obviously didn’t know Milton was happening when I booked flights.

9 news channel showed some of the interstates heading out of area and they already look busy!!!

Awesome, great news on the flight! I’m heading up to stay with some friends in Destin for a few and All the Best to your place on Anna Maria !!
 
  • Like
Reactions: NWICY
Things can change, but current forecast path looks like a direct hit on Tampa Bay. NE side of hurricanes are usually the worst, so that will compound problems.
The big annual convention for my industry started in Tampa yesterday. They had the opening speech and then sent everyone home. This conference attracts like 5,000 attendees plus guests.

I’m sure they’re not the only ones this is happening to but I can’t imagine the problems that crates at the airport.
 
The big annual convention for my industry started in Tampa yesterday. They had the opening speech and then sent everyone home. This conference attracts like 5,000 attendees plus guests.

I’m sure they’re not the only ones this is happening to but I can’t imagine the problems that crates at the airport.
That sounds like a nightmare. I can only imagine people are having to drive to Orlando etc to get new flights.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: throwittoblythe
Things can change, but current forecast path looks like a direct hit on Tampa Bay. NE side of hurricanes are usually the worst, so that will compound problems.

One small point of clarification on this. The right side or in this instance the south side will be the "stronger" part.
 
  • Like
  • Agree
Reactions: cyfanatic and Cyhig
The big annual convention for my industry started in Tampa yesterday. They had the opening speech and then sent everyone home. This conference attracts like 5,000 attendees plus guests.

I’m sure they’re not the only ones this is happening to but I can’t imagine the problems that crates at the airport.
I think they made a good choice by calling it.
 
One small point of clarification on this. The right side or in this instance the south side will be the "stronger" part.
It is very odd to watch the satellite loop and watching a storm intensify like this while moving eastward.
 
Things can change, but current forecast path looks like a direct hit on Tampa Bay. NE side of hurricanes are usually the worst, so that will compound problems.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't that normally because hurricanes head west? East-tracking storms should normally see the highest wind speeds on the southern edge because of the CCW spin.
 
One small point of clarification on this. The right side or in this instance the south side will be the "stronger" part.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't that normally because hurricanes head west? East-tracking storms should normally see the highest wind speeds on the southern edge because of the CCW spin.

tommy-boy-chris-farley.gif