Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
- Thread starter ISUcyclones11
- Start date
It will start happening when they start paying unequal revenue. When teams like Ohio St and Alabama start demanding more money than Indiana and Miss st. and suddenly those teams are getting 50% or less they will start leaving.
This is how they get them to leave, it is not that they kick them out, its that they are going to cut them out until they leave.
Just noodle out how to maximize the money, and that's your answer. From what I have seen, the ad revenue for games increases exponentially with viewership. So 1 game with 3M viewers is worth a heck of a lot more than 3 games with 1M viewers. ESPN and Fox want fewer games with more viewers per game.
So ideal state is a single league of the giant brands, nationwide, which is about 20-24ish teams. These are the teams that drive the majority of the interest, viewers, and ad revenue. The other 40-50 teams will fall to a Division 2 status, costing them a lot less money and effort.
That's the future, and it's just a matter of how the evolution occurs. Right now, they are consolidating those 24ish teams into 2 conferences. Easier to take the next step that way, less chairs at the table.
Next, stop playing games against anyone not in the SEC or B1G to create real separation. Then announce the formation of a SuperLeague that roughly half the B1G/SEC get invited to. The left-behinds fall to existing Division 2. And we are basically back to regular college football, but with no Bama, Ohio St, Texas et al. Maybe it will be better that way, idk.
Im not sure they will have enough money left for the next tier. They want to concentrate all the cash in their cash cows. This is why Fox is essentially killing the PAC to take what they pay there and dump it in the B1G, they want the big names in one spot. They will leave the Big 12 to CBS/Paramount or Apple, Amazon etc.
They won't dump teams; the best brands will get poached by a new conference called "SuperLeague".
IF this happens, that would be unbelievably hard to compete with. Can't imagine Indiana getting $125 just off TV contracts. Iowa City may be paved in gold in ten years.
I was with you up until the point where you thought the Pac 12 would have been an ultimate winner and the SEC would have been an ultimate loser in this scenario. The SEC would have still been #1 and the Pac still #3 - and it's very possible that the Pac could be going through what the Big 12 is currently going through with OU and UT had this scenario played out the way you want. The bottom line is the Big 10 still controls the major northern media markets and the SEC still controls the most lusted after recruiting grounds and one of the most passionate followings in all of college sports - that doesn't change even if the Pac won that round of realignment.
Wilner is tweeting this now and it makes sense. Is killing the Pac 10 by adding the AZ schools, Utah and CO worth taking a smaller payout? Because those schools certainly don't add any money to the pot.
In this case, killing the Pac 10 in exchange for some stability probably is worth a smaller payout is my guess.
In this case, killing the Pac 10 in exchange for some stability probably is worth a smaller payout is my guess.
It is dissimilar in that ISU was getting kicked out of the AAU. The staff pointed out to leadership how they were bragging about AAU status weeks before they resigned. ISU was told to leave.
You take AZ, ASU, UU, and CO. And if OU and UW are avail you take those 2 as well. Leave the others.
Then when the SEC blows up the ACC you are in position to take a few of those, and if needed back fill from the Mount west the schools that went there this round like Stan, Cal, ORst, Wazzu, or SDst, Memphis,
But you take the best 4-6 available from the PAC right now, and wait to see what happens with to the ACC.
Then just round out the numbers if needed with others at that time.
NGL, it's actually a little bit more fun when the Big 12 as a whole and ISU in particular isn't getting the "they're screwed" talk this time around.
I think it was a screenshot from an article. Kurtz loves his articles, and there is a quote at the end. No Big 12 statement is going to have a Quote.
You mean it isnt already? The way they talk over there I thought it already was? Jeez.... I thought the place was a dump the last time I was there. I figured they must have done this to make it special or something, cuz damn cant see what they brag about.
We take 2 or OU and Wash leave and it’s dead don’t need to do 4
Time to tax it or require it go to reduce tuition or general scholarship funds.
How is your baseball team doing?
I feel like most would put it back into a university general fund at that point. You won’t need it for facilities, and NIL will be the new way to get talent. Figuring out how to launder that into an NIL fund will be the next step.
