We’ll have to end up in to top 12 in the final rankings, right?
The Rose and Sugar will take the top 4.
The Fiesta, Cotton, Peach, and Orange will take the rest, and not sure which bowls are affiliated with what conference. But the Big 12 Champ will go to the Cotton since the Sugar is a playoff bowl. I think the Orange is ACC vs Big 10 or SEC. The highest ranked G5 team will go to one. That leaves 5 remaining At large births, assuming those other bowls don’t have any conference affiliations. (Anybody know?)
That being said, the loser of the Big 12 Conf Champ will need a lot of help to stay ranked high enough. Not likely.