Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)
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I was aware of what the person was saying. At the time it was like 1,300 something compared to 1800 something from yesterday. Ended up with 1500 something which is at least a decline in daily numbers.
I was thinking yesterday was 2000 some, but that was 2 days ago. So we were down 25% over a 2 day span. Looks like nationally we could be past the apex.
Basically been 2,000, 1800, 1500 for deaths, and 33,000, 30,000, 27,000 for cases.
Need to keep it going and it will be interesting to see what point we have to reach in different areas to get to where there can be some sprinkling in of the work force.
I would think you'd need 0 cases at factories and other work zones.
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Wife's grandparents live part time in Vegas. Sounds like one of her uncles is leaving today to drive out and bring them back. They are nearly 80 and in relatively good health so I will be kind of upset if the end up getting sick from this trip compared to just staying there. Hell I would say the uncle who is going to get them is not as healthy as they are.
If we go with 0 cases, I think we might as well mail in the year. There will be a few here and there, especially pending on how you test.
Not 0 cases all around...thinking 0 cases for work places. Like Cargil would need 0 cases. I'm not sure if they can operate if there's even one known case.
Oh, Ok. Yeah I was thinking you meant like the state. I thought that was an impossible situation.
Even with a vaccine this is probably something that will probably always be around in some aspect.
Testing needs to be something that can be done at work or something but I'm not sure how that happens.
@Urbandale2013 what's funny about the idea that a work place will have a hard time operating if there's workers present with Covid with potential to spread it?
This was not saying there needs to be 0 cases total all over. I don't think that's attainable.
You should edit to clarify because that wasn’t clear in the original post.
We just got out of our weekly zoom meeting with the teachers and staff. I asked about any word on when we would be going back? The principal replied that they have a zoom meeting scheduled for all school administrators, Thurs or Friday, with the state education people, and hopefully they will be told more at that meeting. She also pointed out that the state has told them that they will be having zoom meeting for all schools up through May 12th.
Hearing that, it sounds like schools will not be in session the rest of this school year.
Hearing that, it sounds like schools will not be in session the rest of this school year.
If were going to do a soft opening of the economy there's zero chance that schools meet again this year. Kids will cause a massive spread event.
Just a little recap from the Covid-19 web site.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/iowa
Two weeks ago today they predicted the following for Iowa:
4/1-4,655 beds needed at it's peak on May 1st
4/5-726 beds needed at it's peak on Apr 26th
4/8-908 on Apr 27th
4/10-1,155 on April 30th
4/13-566 on May 5th
ICU beds have went from 702 to 145 in these two weeks
Does anyone remember what the expected deaths were on 4/1?
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/iowa
Two weeks ago today they predicted the following for Iowa:
4/1-4,655 beds needed at it's peak on May 1st
4/5-726 beds needed at it's peak on Apr 26th
4/8-908 on Apr 27th
4/10-1,155 on April 30th
4/13-566 on May 5th
ICU beds have went from 702 to 145 in these two weeks
Does anyone remember what the expected deaths were on 4/1?
Everyone I know in education believes school is over for the remainder of the school year.
So the models everyone is relying on to determine shut downs has changed their own projections by a factor of nearly 5, in two weeks. Wow. It's pretty shocking we're this far into it an still no one has any idea of the scope of the virus spread, much less how to predict where it will be in the future.
It was well over 1,000 iirc.
It's actually down from 750ish from Friday to 618 for death predictions, so that's positive.
I'm still not sure where they're only predicting 340 deaths in Wisconsin when they're already at 150 and have high populated areas. Not to mention tourist season is just around the corner.
Wish there were more graphs of what's actually currently happening for cases/day for states. I haven't found much on that.
Relatively speaking, unfortunately I don't think we're that far into it so a lot of unknowns will continue.
Minimal data, heroic assumptions in the models, super early in an exponential system, reality changing due to changing behaviors which wreck the models... it's a fools errand to even try modelling this thing.
That said, you have to try anyway, just to have better idea of what you could be up against, and how seriously you need to respond to it. D+ answer is better than no answer at all...
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