It is college football. Thoe one thing I know about college football is whatever the percentages say this week will not be what they said last week and won't be what they say next week.
I highly doubt OU loses two more home games but this season has been crazy, they have a first year HC, and they don't have a good defense.
If they lose to TCU, their chances of the Big 12 Championship drop and they are out of the playoffs.
Beat TCU and they will have talk about playoff game and Big 12 Championship swirling.
Like another poster said...I am not sure what happens if iSu, TCU, WV and OU all end with 2 losses. iSu obviously has the tiebreaker over OU and TCU. WV would have the tie breaker over iSu and OU. OU would have the tiebreaker over TCU. and TCU would have the tiebreaker over WV.
Maybe iSu could make the championship with WV winning out.
ISU would be in vs WV if we both win out and TCU loses to OU...If its your scenario above we would be out because OU wouldnt have 2 loses they would have 3. (That would be TCU and WV winning out which would be the only way to keep us out)