Will we make the ncaa tournament (PIG doesn't count)
- Thread starter Gunnerclone
- Start date
If we get to 9-9 and go one-and-done in the B12 tournament it will be a very stressful Selection Sunday.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
I agree with the bolded. Getting BU and WVU would do the job.
Typing that is easier than getting it done, but that would do it.
im not sure how much I'd be sweating. That would put us at 17-14 I believe. That wouldn't do it. Not really that crazy to look at our last 10 conference games and see us going 4-6.
Lunardi has also be wrong many many times. I think he really failed at picking the bubble last year right before the selection show. He actually doesn't have a good track record.
I agree. I wish it was today. I don't really agree we would be as low as a 7 though.
Has us 18-10 and 10-8 with 70% chance to get in.
Has us 5-5 the rest of the way, with wins over Baylor, Texas, Oklahoma, TCU, and OkSt.
4 seed in the big 12.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/iowa-st-cyclones/bracketology
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Disagree, if you think it'll be worse
Optimistic, if you think we'll end up better
Has us 5-5 the rest of the way, with wins over Baylor, Texas, Oklahoma, TCU, and OkSt.
4 seed in the big 12.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/iowa-st-cyclones/bracketology
Like this post, if you'd sign up for this right now
Disagree, if you think it'll be worse
Optimistic, if you think we'll end up better
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What's your bracketology website again?
Are people still getting lost in the "big 12 is down this year" talk from pre-season?
After vandy yesterday, I looked at the schedule. 10 games to go.
Wins OU, TCU, OSU,
Losses @WV, @KU, @ TT
Toss ups WV, @Tex, @KSU, BU
I really think we need to win 2 of the toss ups and be 10-8 in conference. 9-9 in conference is 17-13 with no marquee wins (Miami, maybe, possible WV or BU), and a terrible loss at IA. MIGHT get in with that just based on decent reputation.
Caveat on the Big12 tourney. Not knowing who we will play, can't really predict anything there. A win vs OSU is no help, and hard to predict a win vs KU or BU.
I am not optimistic, but I am hopeful.
Wins OU, TCU, OSU,
Losses @WV, @KU, @ TT
Toss ups WV, @Tex, @KSU, BU
I really think we need to win 2 of the toss ups and be 10-8 in conference. 9-9 in conference is 17-13 with no marquee wins (Miami, maybe, possible WV or BU), and a terrible loss at IA. MIGHT get in with that just based on decent reputation.
Caveat on the Big12 tourney. Not knowing who we will play, can't really predict anything there. A win vs OSU is no help, and hard to predict a win vs KU or BU.
I am not optimistic, but I am hopeful.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
Win those two and the tournament is an absolute certainty with even average play in other games.
I'm too lazy to look for it, but I have no doubt that there's NIT doom and gloom from this time last year, too. I think folks miss the forest for the trees and/or listen to too much Jerry Palm. With 10 conference games left, is ISU a lock? No, but who is? At 10-8, they will be, or 9-9 with a big win. Heck, 8-10 with a win in Morgantown might do the trick.
No need to panic now. There will be plenty of time for that later.
He generally has a good track record of picking the teams (as do most people who are Bracketologists for a living), but he has a lousy track record at seeding - his biases, especially for the blue bloods, are his undoing.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
Miami. 14-6 and just beat #9 in the country by 15. K State is 2nd best, followed by probably TT. Not great, but better than some, and given that we play in a great conference with a lot of tough games, our SOS is going to be better than most.
We have a bit of divide here between (1) If ISU would be in bubble danger if selection were today (or even a week from now (2) whether we feel confident Iowa State can sustain/improve its standing with the remaining schedule.
Yup. The doom and gloom from some is exhausting. We were also at a 9 before the Vandy loss, so despite popular belief, it probably won't hurt us much
