2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread

[KennyPratt42]

The floor is now 9 on the s-curve. We are in contention with Florida, Houston, UConn, Illinois, and Mich St for 4 through 9. Unless they go out early Florida and Houston feel like they have 4 and 5 locked up. In terms of the other three plus us, the committee could put them in about any order and I wouldn’t be shocked. Any of the other three losing early would go a long way to us being on the 2 line.

 

[Letterkenny]

We get the 2 seed in the East with a potential S16 match up with kNU. Good?

No way Nebraska makes the S16. They're out first round. You can't fight destiny.

 

[ClonesFTW]

We get the 2 seed in the East with a potential S16 match up with kNU. Good?

I can see the TV networks wanting to sell this matchup, personally want nothing to do with it.

 

[VeloClone]

No way Nebraska makes the S16. They're out first round. You can't fight destiny.

 

[not-the-manager]

I can see the TV networks wanting to sell this matchup, personally want nothing to do with it.

TV doesn’t get involved till the brackets are finalized

 

[Jeffreyisu]

We know it doesn't mean anything but we are back up to a 2 seed on Lunardi's bracketology.

 

[VeloClone]

We know it doesn't mean anything but we are back up to a 2 seed on Lunardi's bracketology.

View attachment 168830

I think Lunardi's problem is he gets hung up in thinking that he has to move a whole bunch of stuff around based on every single result. Most of it is probably for TV.

I kind of equate it to riding in a car with my father in law - constant oversteering.

 

[Jeffreyisu]

I think Lunardi's problem is he gets hung up in thinking that he has to move a whole bunch of stuff around based on every single result. Most of it is probably for TV.

I kind of equate it to riding in a car with my father in law - constant oversteering.

Good point. We'll probably get bumped back down with another current 3 seed winning later today. But then back up to a 2 when we beat Arizona tomorrow night!

 

[houjix]

I think Lunardi's problem is he gets hung up in thinking that he has to move a whole bunch of stuff around based on every single result. Most of it is probably for TV.

I kind of equate it to riding in a car with my father in law - constant oversteering.

He's probably linked it to some data set that is pulling from things like Kenpom and NET.

 

[VeloClone]

Every team has 30+ data points at this time of the season. One game that swings a couple of points one way or another shouldn't move teams that much now.

 

[ClonesFTW]

I think Lunardi's problem is he gets hung up in thinking that he has to move a whole bunch of stuff around based on every single result. Most of it is probably for TV.

Correct. "Bracketology" is mostly just a revenue source just like weekly CFB playoff updates.

 

[isufbcurt]

I can see the TV networks wanting to sell this matchup, personally want nothing to do with it.

Really?

Our defense would make them piss all over the court.

Little Joubert would need years of counseling after being defended by Torre

 

[Raiders70]

We get the 2 seed in the East with a potential S16 match up with kNU. Good?

kNU??

 

[bluestarcyclone]

Every team has 30+ data points at this time of the season. One game that swings a couple of points one way or another shouldn't move teams that much now.

On one hand I agree that this is how it should be.

But on the other hand not all of those data points are created equal. Few teams have a ton of quad 1A data points the way you get late in conference tournaments and its really lazy for the committee to essentially ignore these

I mean put it this way- our win over net 15 texas tech is a higher net win than any of Florida's wins so far. Why shouldn't that be considered?

 

[Bader]

kNU??

wha?

The N on the helmets stands for kNowledge

 

[CySmurf]

George McBraska

 

[keepngoal]

kNU??

The 'N' on Nebraskas hemlet stands for kNowledge.

 

[CascadeClone]

The floor is now 9 on the s-curve. We are in contention with Florida, Houston, UConn, Illinois, and Mich St for 4 through 9. Unless they go out early Florida and Houston feel like they have 4 and 5 locked up. In terms of the other three plus us, the committee could put them in about any order and I wouldn’t be shocked. Any of the other three losing early would go a long way to us being on the 2 line.

The order might depend more on where the 2s fall out in terms of location and conference affiliation, as opposed to who is higher than who.

 

[VeloClone]

On one hand I agree that this is how it should be.

But on the other hand not all of those data points are created equal. Few teams have a ton of quad 1A data points the way you get late in conference tournaments and its really lazy for the committee to essentially ignore these

I mean put it this way- our win over net 15 texas tech is a higher net win than any of Florida's wins so far. Why shouldn't that be considered?

NET 15 Neutral is not considered higher than NET 16 on the road, but I get your point.

 

[clone52]

Every team has 30+ data points at this time of the season. One game that swings a couple of points one way or another shouldn't move teams that much now.

UConn, MSU, ISU, Illinois are razor thing though.

Illinois and Iowa State have better predictive metrics.

MSU and UConn have better results metrics.

It will just come down to what the people in the room think. Any order makes sense.