Weather Thread - 1/16 to 1/18

  • Fanatics -

    Thank you for your patience today and welcome to the newest version of Cyclone Fanatic!

    Most of the changes we have made are very simple, but will greatly improve your user experience while visiting the website.

    We have upgraded our forum software to speed things up. Our homepage is much cleaner and should be even more mobile friendly than before.

    We appreciate your loyalty and are committed to not only keeping Cyclone Fanatic in tip-top shape, but continuing to build this community for the next decade and beyond.

    We ask that if you are experiences any glitches to let us know in this thread . Will will be diligently working on the site all day.

    Thanks again.

    Chris Williams - Publisher

CyState85

Active Member
May 8, 2019
100
38
28
35
Way too early but Weather.com and Weather Underground are predicting 8-12 inches for Central Iowa Thursday night into Saturday. Maybe some Mixed precipitation depending on the line it takes. Cowabunga!!!
 

barryb4384

Member
Jun 30, 2006
107
42
18
Biggest factor in this storm will be the temperatures. Temps sound like they are trending warmer than currently predicted which would mean more rain/freezing rain. Not good for travel, but less snow. Four days away, but by Wednesday morning, should have a better idea. If it does hit, likely another storm that will be tough for local weather to predict amounts due to the temps.
 

kingcy

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 16, 2006
21,701
1,998
113
Menlo, Iowa
We were suppose to get 4 to 6 last week and got 1/2 inch here. We were suppose to get 2-3 today and got 1/2 inch.

So yes everyone panic 4 days out. Call off everything before a drop of snow falls.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Scott34

alarson

Well-Known Member
Mar 15, 2006
37,876
18,581
113
Ankeny
We were suppose to get 4 to 6 last week and got 1/2 inch here. We were suppose to get 2-3 today and got 1/2 inch.

So yes everyone panic 4 days out. Call off everything before a drop of snow falls.
The only thing worse than missed predictions are the people who act like the weather predictions are just total garbage because they weren't perfect. And they weren't even that far off. They were predicting a line of snowfall running sw to ne, that did generally run along that path (forecasts shifted back and forth where that line would actually be)

Snow is hard to predict. Oftentimes they are right that a line of snow will occur, but it could move 50 miles one way or the other (with big differences as to the effect wherever that line is). You're never harmed by being prepared for the possibility.
 

barryb4384

Member
Jun 30, 2006
107
42
18
I live south of Des Moines and the 3 systems that came through this weekend was as follows:

Friday official forecast: 5-7 inches. We got a little over 4.
Saturday official forecast: Should miss us, so no snow. We got no snow.
Sunday official forecast: 1-2 inches with 1 south of I80, up to 2 north of I80. We got a little over 1.

With snow being incredibly hard to predict when it comes to amounts, the last 3 days were pretty good for just south of Des Moines/Indianola area.


We were suppose to get 4 to 6 last week and got 1/2 inch here. We were suppose to get 2-3 today and got 1/2 inch.

So yes everyone panic 4 days out. Call off everything before a drop of snow falls.
 

Cyientist

Well-Known Member
Aug 18, 2013
1,873
629
113
Ankeny
Great. This is turning out just like the Thanksgiving storm where I have to travel to MN and back to Ankeny on Thursday-Friday for , then turn around and bring the family up there for a family event on Saturday.
 

SayMyName

Well-Known Member
Jan 28, 2017
357
383
63
ABQ
You're never harmed by being prepared for the possibility.
Gotta disagree a bit with this part here. There were a bunch of activities around central Iowa that were canceled on Saturday based on these forecasts, which could have easily ended up happening after all. Now while I am an aggressive advocate of safety above all else, it does get frustrating when trying to plan ahead.
 

Trice

Well-Known Member
Apr 1, 2010
2,780
781
113
Ankeny
Gotta disagree a bit with this part here. There were a bunch of activities around central Iowa that were canceled on Saturday based on these forecasts, which could have easily ended up happening after all. Now while I am an aggressive advocate of safety above all else, it does get frustrating when trying to plan ahead.
I was a little frustrated with this myself. I'm not that bothered by Friday. Even if the forecast turned out to be less, the cancellations were understandable.

But in Ankeny they had called off all Saturday activities by Friday afternoon. And at some point Friday evening or early Saturday the forecast changed and said the Saturday wave would miss us entirely. So Saturday was a wasted day all around. (And now this next weekend may be in doubt too.)

I don't blame the forecasters too much. There's always uncertainty, conditions change, etc. But I just don't get what local decision-makers gain by cancelling everything so prematurely.
 

Clonefan32

Well-Known Member
Nov 19, 2008
15,913
6,456
113
Gotta disagree a bit with this part here. There were a bunch of activities around central Iowa that were canceled on Saturday based on these forecasts, which could have easily ended up happening after all. Now while I am an aggressive advocate of safety above all else, it does get frustrating when trying to plan ahead.
Talked to a guy who was involved in calling off a youth basketball tournament that was to occur on Saturday based on Friday's forecast. Said they lost out on about $20,000 for the local athletic booster club and they would have had it had they been able to make the call Saturday morning.
 

BillBrasky4Cy

Well-Known Member
Dec 10, 2013
7,256
7,308
113
Talked to a guy who was involved in calling off a youth basketball tournament that was to occur on Saturday based on Friday's forecast. Said they lost out on about $20,000 for the local athletic booster club and they would have had it had they been able to make the call Saturday morning.
I'll take "Why Youth Sports Have Went to Hell" for $500, Alex.
 

Clonefan32

Well-Known Member
Nov 19, 2008
15,913
6,456
113
I'll take "Why Youth Sports Have Went to Hell" for $500, Alex.
I will note this includes concessions, spectators "tickets", entry fees, etc. I didn't get the sense the fee to be in the tournament was excessive by any means. There were easily 40-50 different teams in the tournament.

There's just alot of teams and alot of spectators, and all the money goes back to the local Athletic Boosters.

Alot of reasons to be down on youth sports, but I don't see this as one of them.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: twojman

3TrueFans

Just a Man in the Middle
SuperFanatic
Sep 10, 2009
45,830
22,118
113
40
Ames
Talked to a guy who was involved in calling off a youth basketball tournament that was to occur on Saturday based on Friday's forecast. Said they lost out on about $20,000 for the local athletic booster club and they would have had it had they been able to make the call Saturday morning.
My son was supposed to play in a tournament in Gilbert and they cancelled it on Friday night, I'm guessing he regrets that decision.
 

Trice

Well-Known Member
Apr 1, 2010
2,780
781
113
Ankeny
Talked to a guy who was involved in calling off a youth basketball tournament that was to occur on Saturday based on Friday's forecast. Said they lost out on about $20,000 for the local athletic booster club and they would have had it had they been able to make the call Saturday morning.
This time of year I can only imagine this was the case for dozens of schools.

I would question whether Saturday should have been cancelled even if the forecast for that day had held up. In central Iowa they were only forecasting 1-3" for Saturday afternoon. That's an inconvenience, but that's winter in the Midwest.