Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
I’m confused why the PAC would want to extend the window? You’d think they would want to hit the open market and try to start a bidding war. Sure the B1G deal isn’t final, but I’d assume the networks have an idea of where they stand at this point. Going to the open market doesn’t mean a deal must be struck right away.
To let the big ten settle theirs. Rumors of them having a deal by Labor Day. If they lock that in, then the PAC will have an idea of who they are working with as a conference.
 

2speedy1

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What I'm trying to suggest is a Big 12/Pac 10 merger that maximizes profits by merging the best teams as opposed to one trying to kill the other. If the Pac was able to get past the religious institution hurdle and cut their dead weight, what would that look like? 12-16 of the best teams?
The merger was already discussed by the 2 conferences and the Big 12 said "yeah, no thanks"
 

2speedy1

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Large raises for all? Where do you get that?

It’s not likely to require large raises for most, particularly if Big 12 misses on adding PAC.

Projections like Navigate have the conferences close, and that’s without the ACCN growth of adding more markets and much greater chance of getting more berths in new CFP. That 24 school conference would be much more likely to get multiple entrants than Big 16 or Big 12 (or ACC). FSU, Miami, VT, Clemson, Cincinnati, Baylor, Ok St, ISU, etc there’s more meat there than Big 16 or even Big 18 imo.

Unequal revenue sharing would allow big raises for some, similar to LHN kept Big 12 together.

ESPN has a long position on 14 ACC schools either way and Fox will make them pay for it. Moving schools to SEC likely not that much cheaper than creating a 3rd super conference around the ACC. If schools get moved for SEC, they grab 6 PAC schools

And it’s WVU and Cincinnati preferring the ACC from it being forced on us

They like ACC for market share too.
You really are a broken record.
 

2speedy1

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I still don’t see the benefit of extending ESPN and Fox’s exclusive offer window. Fox didn’t want to offer and ESPN lowballed. If they change their mind, they can still do that in the open market. You say there’s lots of reasons to extend it, but couldn’t come up with one?
If Kliavkoff can delay finding out what they get from the open market, especially if he knows through back channels it will be low, then he can delay the schools finding out what their deal is worth. This is especially the case for the 4 corners. The longer he can delay the longer it gives him to work something out, or for the Big 12 to move on, or some other change to happen, that is suddenly beneficial to him.

Right now finding out they are not in a good position just means no one is happy, no one agrees to the deal and everyone looks to jump ship. But delaying you hope to figure out a better deal, whether or not that ever happens, and he is just delaying the inevitable.
 

RustShack

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If Kliavkoff can delay finding out what they get from the open market, especially if he knows through back channels it will be low, then he can delay the schools finding out what their deal is worth. This is especially the case for the 4 corners. The longer he can delay the longer it gives him to work something out, or for the Big 12 to move on, or some other change to happen, that is suddenly beneficial to him.

Right now finding out they are not in a good position just means no one is happy, no one agrees to the deal and everyone looks to jump ship. But delaying you hope to figure out a better deal, whether or not that ever happens, and he is just delaying the inevitable.
THAT aspect makes more sense. I was just in PAC mode where you’d want to go to the table with everyone. But it makes more sense if you’ve already heard and the offers aren’t there.

Probably not much you can do though, just a sinking ship.
 
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exCyDing

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If the Pac12 schools don't want schools with religious affiliation, they can make less money on their own. Like I pointed out in prior post- 9 of 12 Pac12 FB teams have played BYU in the last 4 years! Those are non-con games where the Pac12 schools could play anyone and they choose to play BYU!!

Realignment is about maximizing money and product. Dropping BYU, TCU and Baylor makes ZERO sense. I realize people have issues with Baylor during Briles tenure, but they are an elite AD right now.

Dropping Baylor or TCU to keep Houston is crazy! If UW & Oregon are willing to leave WSU & OSU behind to go to Big10- the Big12 should push for the same deal.
If WA/WA St and OR/OR St are a package deal to get into the Big XII, they need to be a package deal if part of that packages leaves. Say all four join the Big XII in 2024. OR gets an invite to the Big 10 in 2032 starting in 2034. The Big XII gets to decide if they want to keep OR St or not for the 2034 season and beyond. If they choose to keep them, the deal is off and OR St is a member just as any other. If they choose to cut them off, both parties just go their separate ways.
 
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RustShack

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If WA/WA St and OR/OR St are a package deal to get into the Big XII, they need to be a package deal if part of that packages leaves. Say all four join the Big XII in 2024. OR gets an invite to the Big 10 in 2032 starting in 2034. The Big XII gets to decide if they want to keep OR St or not for the 2034 season and beyond. If they choose to keep them, the deal is off and OR St is a member just as any other. If they choose to cut them off, both parties just go their separate ways.
Oregon State and Washington State aren’t getting into the Big12, so this scenario is irrelevant.
 

isucy86

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Fair enough. What's your list of the best 12-16 Big 12/Pac 10 teams?
First of all since the Big12 is valued more than Pac12, the money is going to say the new conference should include more Big12 teams than Pac12 teams. Your list of teams had 6 Big12 teams & 10 Pac12 teams. That would mean the combined conference would make $30M +/- vs. $40M +/-.

I would agree that a merger discussion makes sense if both conferences are willing to drop their lowest value teams.

I would go with the below for a 16 team conference:

Pac Division
Oregon
Washington
Stanford
Utah

BYU
ASU
Arizona

Texas Tech

Big Division
Colorado
Iowa State
Kansas
Oklahoma State
Baylor
TCU
Cincy
WVU


That would mean Cal, WSU, OR State, K-State, Houston & UCF would be excluded because they would be the lowest valued schools by the TV Networks. If I'm wrong, swap out team(s) on my list with those I excluded.

I could be convinced to go with 18, 20 or 22 teams if the added teams don't dilute the per school annual payouts by more than $2-3M. But I doubt that is the case.

If the goal is to maximize revenue per school, a Big12 & Pac12 combination probably means fewer than 16 schools.
 
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CYCLNST8

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First of all since the Big12 is valued more than Pac12, the money is going to say the new conference should include more Big12 teams than Pac12 teams. Your list of teams had 6 Big12 teams & 10 Pac12 teams. That would mean the combined conference would make $30M +/- vs. $40M +/-.

I would agree that a merger discussion makes sense if both conferences are willing to drop their lowest value teams.

I would go with the below for a 16 team conference:

Pac Division
Oregon
Washington
Stanford
Utah

BYU
ASU
Arizona

Texas Tech

Big Division
Colorado
Iowa State
Kansas
Oklahoma State
Baylor
TCU
Cincy
WVU


That would mean Cal, WSU, OR State, K-State, Houston & UCF would be excluded because they would be the lowest valued schools by the TV Networks. If I'm wrong, swap out team(s) on my list with those I excluded.

I could be convinced to go with 18, 20 or 22 teams if the added teams don't dilute the per school annual payouts by more than $2-3M. But I doubt that is the case.

If the goal is to maximize revenue per school, a Big12 & Pac12 combination probably means fewer than 16 schools.
Thank you for discussing rather than dismissing my premise. I think the reason it’d probably never work is because both sides are unwilling to “trim the fat.” Hard to believe Kansas State would be left out (as delicious as that sounds). I would argue that traditional rivalries will help drive viewership interest in the future. My revised combo would be:

BIG 8:
Baylor
Colorado
Iowa State
Kansas
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
TCU
Tech

PAC 8:
Arizona
Arizona State
BYU
Cal
Oregon
Stanford
Utah
Washington
 

RustShack

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The Big12 isn’t trimming fat. They are adding PAC schools of equal or greater value, at least combined.. meaning the corner four and Oregon and Washington if willing.
 

2speedy1

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You’re easily triggered and confused. The Mandel of CF realignment
Im not confused about anything, Im just kind of sick of you repeating the same ACC this ACC that over and over. :rolleyes:
If that is being triggered I guess, Im guilty. :eek:LOL

Edit: and if anyone is the Mandel, you are that, of the ACC.
 
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CyCrazy

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Im not confused about anything, Im just kind of sick of you repeating the same ACC this ACC that over and over. :rolleyes:
If that is being triggered I guess, Im guilty. :eek:LOL

Edit: and if anyone is the Mandel, you are that, of the ACC.

Ignore Whoisthis he just an angry little pud He had the same Schick before he got banned with his previous username
 

Clonedogg

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The Big12 isn’t trimming fat. They are adding PAC schools of equal or greater value, at least combined.. meaning the corner four and Oregon and Washington if willing.
Arizona and CU are the same as OrSt and KSU they would most definitely bring the average DOWN. Why are you adding them, because they look nice on a map?

Edit, even combined with ASU and Utah. ASU is average, Utah a bit above average, the whole would seem to be less.
 
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Clonehomer

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Arizona and CU are the same as OrSt and KSU they would most definitely bring the average DOWN. Why are you adding them, because they look nice on a map?

Edit, even combined with ASU and Utah. ASU is average, Utah a bit above average, the whole would seem to be less.

TBH, the map thing doesn't hurt. They are still schools with some respect. And when you're trying to prove that you're a power league, names do matter. I'd take a Colorado with a lesser payout than a team like SDSU with a higher payout (hypothetical, I know they don't really bring that money).
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Arizona and CU are the same as OrSt and KSU they would most definitely bring the average DOWN. Why are you adding them, because they look nice on a map?

Edit, even combined with ASU and Utah. ASU is average, Utah a bit above average, the whole would seem to be less.
They could be a wash if they provide that late time slot so we cover all available time slots. Right now BYU is about it, and they have to play half their games on the road. So that would mean we would ask half the teams to host one 9 pm game every other year.