Positive *Informative* Covid News

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I mean, a lot of those 'other conditions' are things that tie right in to covid, such as the pneumonia, respiratory distress syndrome, the heart conditions, etc. So while they had 'other conditions' a lot of those were 'other conditions caused by covid'

not necessarily...do we know if those other conditions were on admission or after Covid infection?
 
I mean, a lot of those 'other conditions' are things that tie right in to covid, such as the pneumonia, respiratory distress syndrome, the heart conditions, etc. So while they had 'other conditions' a lot of those were 'other conditions caused by covid'
Then there would be no deaths attributable to COVID-19.
 
Can you give a super short synopsis? (behind a paywall)

I try not to post anything that is behind a pay wall and this article is not, although it does require a free account. This paragraph is a good summary.

"Uncertain though it still may be, knowledge of how the coronavirus works and how to fight it is slowly, surely accreting. Eight months into the pandemic, doctors are gaining a better handle on how to treat the disease. Some therapies are brand-new medications, while others are common medical staples previously shown in clinical trials to be safe and effective for different ailments. Other improvements have come from subtle changes to standard care. All of it, bit by bit, is saving lives."
 
Minnesota reported it's 2nd highest single day positive cases but the Star Trib put this "positive" spin on so I'm going with it fitting the thread. :rolleyes:

Even so, the rate of Minnesota’s recent case growth is slower than in the bordering states of Iowa and North and South Dakota, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. That data shows COVID-19 cases growing at a faster rate in those states than anywhere else in the country in recent days.
 
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While the midwest is dealing with increased case California is looking to repopen. 8 months into the coronavirus crisis we are still learning a lot.

 
Use your brain. Its Occam's razor here. There's a large increase in these things over normal. Unless there is suddenly also an epidemic of these things that is completely separate from covid which would be really weird for both to be happening at the same time, these things are caused by covid.
 
I think it will be interesting after this settles down to see all the studies done to review how this was all recorded. Important to get it more consistent across the whole country for decisions to be made next time.

I wonder what increase in the overall death rate occurs in the US during 2020, if any?
 
Use your brain. Its Occam's razor here. There's a large increase in these things over normal. Unless there is suddenly also an epidemic of these things that is completely separate from covid which would be really weird for both to be happening at the same time, these things are caused by covid.

Come on man, I am only pointing out that it is ridiculous to say that every case, 100% without a doubt, irrefutable, indisputable, undeniable, unquestionable, incontroverible, that EVERY death was absolutely caused by Covid-19. Key term in Occam's Razor (the simplest explanantion is most LIKELY the right one) is therefore not irrefutable, just a preference for simplicity.
 
Use your brain. Its Occam's razor here. There's a large increase in these things over normal. Unless there is suddenly also an epidemic of these things that is completely separate from covid which would be really weird for both to be happening at the same time, these things are caused by covid.
Another rational, simple explanation is that one part of what makes covid dangerous is that is picks off those who were struggling with other illnesses but would have likely survived without the added factor of COVID-19.

I don't know that we have the data to say what the actual situation is, but it seems logical to say that some of these additional illnesses were complications of COVID, while others were pre-existing conditions exacerbated by COVID.

Either way, the idea that COVID isn't dangerous because only 6% of COVID deaths were from COVID only is bogus. I think the positive news out of this is that maybe one way to help make things better is to try to treat or prevent those other conditions. One of the reasons people believe Japan has done relatively well is widespread vaccination against pneumonia, reducing damage from COVID induced pneumonia. I'm not sure if this was proven one way or another, but is an interesting idea.
 
Another rational, simple explanation is that one part of what makes covid dangerous is that is picks off those who were struggling with other illnesses but would have likely survived without the added factor of COVID-19.


I don't know that we have the data to say what the actual situation is, but it seems logical to say that some of these additional illnesses were complications of COVID, while others were pre-existing conditions exacerbated by COVID.

Either way, the idea that COVID isn't dangerous because only 6% of COVID deaths were from COVID only is bogus. I think the positive news out of this is that maybe one way to help make things better is to try to treat or prevent those other conditions. One of the reasons people believe Japan has done relatively well is widespread vaccination against pneumonia, reducing damage from COVID induced pneumonia. I'm not sure if this was proven one way or another, but is an interesting idea.


I asked that right away, how many people who are concerned about Covid got their pneumonia shot? Nobody answered that. That is one big way to help fight off Covid for those high risk or even concerned people.
 
The current pneumonia vaccine protects against bacterial pneumonia only, so it would have no effect on viral pneumoniae. The differences between the US and Japan are probably mostly attributable to the difference in overall general health, especially obesity.
 
There are various articles seeking to estimate "excess deaths". Here's a link to one from earlier in the year. I'd stopped posting in this thread since my personal views on the matter aren't appreciated by those who post the most herein, but this seems responsive to your question. I think it will be very safe to say that the overall death rate in the US will increase as measured by calendar 2020, given the "excess deaths" having already occurred, barring some really strange circumstances later this year.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2767980

Thanks for posting, a lot of good analysis. It is very interesting that they have been doing this same analysis to monitor the Flu deaths over the years. I will be interested to see what this same analysis shows when we look at a longer period (maybe one year period with the virus).
 
Thanks for posting, a lot of good analysis. It is very interesting that they have been doing this same analysis to monitor the Flu deaths over the years. I will be interested to see what this same analysis shows when we look at a longer period (maybe one year period with the virus).

CDC has charts of the excess deaths online going back three years. Here's USA weekly. Last period of "excess" was January 2018 which was the worst flu season in a decade but still produced way less excess deaths than this spring/summer. January this year and last were within norms.


InkedWeeklyExcessDeaths usa.jpg
 
Thanks for posting, a lot of good analysis. It is very interesting that they have been doing this same analysis to monitor the Flu deaths over the years. I will be interested to see what this same analysis shows when we look at a longer period (maybe one year period with the virus).

The local school nurse who retired at the end of last year was talking about the state requiring flu tracking. They had to report to the state when they hit 12% of the student population as probable cases. I know last year they got close but have never hit that high of a number.
 
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The local school nurse who retired at the end of last year was talking about the state requiring flu tracking. They had to report to the state when they hit 12% of the student population as probable cases. I know last year they got close but have never hit that high of a number.
So when 12% is reported what action issues taken?
 
So when 12% is reported what action issues taken?


She didn't know what would happen, they just had to report and they never hit it. This last winter she said they were close, but didn't get there. I know my wife said she had a 6-7 kids out of 20 gone at one point from flu, but they are attached to the HS and they don't get as many stay at homes as elementary does.
 
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