So...With who we still have to play, if we win out, we're in the Big 12 championship game. But we have to win out.
Oklahoma - Currently sitting with one conference loss. Beat them and win out means worst case scenario we would both finish with 7-2 conference records, but we would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker in that situation.
Texas - Both Iowa State and Texas currently have 3-2 conference records. Winning out would give them a third conference loss behind our 7-2 record.
Kansas - Already five conference losses. Self-explanatory.
Kansas State - Similar scenario to Texas. They already have two conference losses. Iowa State winning out would give them a third conference loss.
Of the teams we've already faced:
TCU - Currently has 3 conferences losses plus we have the head-to-head win.
Oklahoma State - Has 3 conference losses, so winning out still puts us ahead of them.
West Virginia and Texas Tech - Yeah...
Do I actually think we win out? Hard to be confident after Oklahoma State game, but the path is at least there where we don't need help to get to Dallas.