I think we would top out as a 4. Non-conference will hold our RPI down enough, and we'd have to do a ton of move up to top 12 in KenPom and other ratings.
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I think we would top out as a 4. Non-conference will hold our RPI down enough, and we'd have to do a ton of move up to top 12 in KenPom and other ratings.
I'll go ahead and make a list of how the teams around us in the bracket matrix do this week. It hasn't been updated today but our current average seed is 6.76.
5) Virginia: W vs Carolina
5) Notre Dame: W vs Boston College
5) Cincinnati: Thursday vs Houston
5) Minnesota: Thursday vs. Nebraska
6) SMU: Thursday vs. Tulsa
6) Wisconsin: Thursday vs. Iowa
6) Creighton: W vs. St John's
6) St Mary's: West Coast conference tourney
7) ISU: W vs. OK State
7) OK State: L @ ISU
7) Maryland: W @ Rutgers
7) South Carolina: W vs Mississippi St
5) Virginia: W vs Carolina
5) Notre Dame: W vs Boston College
5) Cincinnati: Thursday vs Houston
5) Minnesota: Thursday vs. Nebraska
6) SMU: Thursday vs. Tulsa
6) Wisconsin: Thursday vs. Iowa
6) Creighton: W vs. St John's
6) St Mary's: West Coast conference tourney
7) ISU: W vs. OK State
7) OK State: L @ ISU
7) Maryland: W @ Rutgers
7) South Carolina: W vs Mississippi St
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Cyclonepride
Thought Police
I think we're a solid 6. Win against WV and one in the Big 12 tournament, and we might be a 5. I think 7 is the bottom now, and I really don't expect to see us at the 7 line.
I dont know how St Mary's can be a 6th seed. They have 1 win over a tourney team the entire season and they pretty much have the same record as they always do when they get shipped off to the NIT.
Agree with a 7 seed now being the floor and a 6 seed being the most likely outcome. Here's my guess going forward...
L @ WVU and 0 wins in KC = 7 seed.
L @ WVU and win 1 in KC = 6 seed.
L @ WVU and win 2 in KC = 5/6 seed.
L @ WVU and win 3 in KC = 4/5 seed.
W @ WVU and 0 wins in KC = 6 seed.
W @ WVU and 1 win in KC = 5 seed.
W @ WVU and 2 wins in KC = 5 seed.
W @ WVU and 3 wins in KC = 4 seed.
Preachin to the choir. But I feel like this happens every year, they stay around 3-4 losses and mosey into the tourney while people on the bubble would probably beat them head to head.
27-5 last year and they got shipped off to the NIT. They even beat Gonzaga last year, something they havent done this year, and now they are a 6 seed? Doesnt make sense.
I'm usually a proponent of them making it, but maybe as a 10 or 11 seed type of team.
Yeah, they should definitely not be as a single digit seed when you lose to UT-Arlington at home by 14. Even if your only other two losses are to Gonzaga.
The actual seedings in the tournament can vary by more than you'd think because the committee needs to move teams around to avoid early conference matchups and put as many teams as possible in their geographic area. At this point, I can see us being anywhere between a 2 seed (if we win out) and a 10 seed.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
I have a million dollars that says that we will not be a 10 seed.
What were the projections like last year at this time?
I remember being surprised at the 4 seed.
I'll take that million, and double down that we wont be a 2 seed either.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
I give it a 2% chance but it could happen. Our RPI is currently 33. If we lose our next 2 games, we could drop to around 40. While RPI isnt the only factor in seeding, it is one of the biggest factors.
And we are finishing in 2nd place in the toughest conference in the country with a win over multiple top 10 teams. We aren't a 10 seed, or even close to it really.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
Too funny. I already think of you in those terms!
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