I think Palm's problem with us was our inflated RPI, which has consistently gone down. He will come around.
***Official Bracketology Thread***
- Thread starter StratCY
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Yes, right now it looks like he's leaning quite heavily on RPI, judging by his field and seedings. Could explain why South Carolina is seeded so low (11) and Northwestern is an 8 seed.
It's almost like palm is a push poller. It's been the same thing for over 5 years- have the big 10 wildly over represented and over seeded all year, then get in line the last week to make sure he doesn't look too ridiculous with his final selections. Last year he was actually pretty bullish on ISU compared to most. Previous years not so much.
There are still several low and mid major conference teams in front of ISU that played tough NC that are going to drop quickly as their SOS starts dropping. Short of a bad finish those teams will be in the rear view. The great thing is that there are no RPI killers left.
As of yesterday morning, we're the first 10 seed on bracket matrix. Probably slightly lower with the TCU loss now
http://bracketmatrix.com/
http://bracketmatrix.com/
http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?src=desktop&rand=ref~{"ref":"https://t.co/uOaZ1YRXaF"}
ISU a 7 seed in Midwest playing VCU in Greensboro. Midwest regional is Kansas City
ISU a 7 seed in Midwest playing VCU in Greensboro. Midwest regional is Kansas City
Brackets made just going by kenpom can definitely be a bit wonky, I love kenpom but definitely wouldn't want it to be the sole factor in choosing and seeding teams. Like Florida a couple years ago, they were like 15-16 and even though the kenpom numbers said they were probably close to an at-large kind of team, you can't give an at-large to a team with a losing record.
http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?iteration=203®ion=4&year=2017
ISU down to a 9 seed in the West.
ISU down to a 9 seed in the West.
That's accurate. Might even have stayed at 8 line, but I think IU climbed over ISU just by winning at Nebraska. (Lunardi's previous one had ISU at 7, IU 9.)
Tomorrow is a must win or we are looking at a very poor record come the end of February.
there are no road games that are must win unless its a terrible conference opponent. there aren't any of those in the b12.
our must win games are the remaining home games - need at least 1 of WVU and Bay and we're fine.
our must win games are the remaining home games - need at least 1 of WVU and Bay and we're fine.
7 losses is a poor record at this point with many of the toughest games to come...perhaps it's too early, but unless something really changes with ISU and they rattle off a bunch of wins, imo a loss tomorrow makes or breaks things at this point.
My hope for ISU, especially with the overall talent level (or lack there of) of this group, is just getting in the tourney, so a 9 seed is fine by me.
That might seem good enough, but at this point ISU has (1) no top-50 wins; (2) only one true road win. I think at minimum we need to win out at home (to get wins over WVU and Baylor) or else pick up at least 2 additional road victories (sweeping 3 low-tier league teams, hence no more bad losses)
there are no bad losses in the b12. every team is top 75 in kenpom. bubble teams always have shady resumes, that's why they're on the bubble. 8-10 in conf with 1 win against bay/wvu we're in. 9-9 with 0-6 against the best 3 in the b12, we still probably make it.
pac12, sec, mw, a10, are all way down - got to find 68 teams somewhere!
We may disagree because of interpretation between "safely in" and "good side of the bubble." I'm viewing it as how to not be sweating on Selection Sunday.
