Oh I'm mostly joking, not being sarcastic at you or the schools. It's just cosmic law that you take action to prepare for something like this and it fizzles. Though overnight it seems the danger blob expanded again.
***Official 2023 Weather Thread***
- Thread starter wxman1
- Start date
Oh I'm mostly joking, not being sarcastic at you or the schools. It's just cosmic law that you take action to prepare for something like this and it fizzles. Though overnight it seems the danger blob expanded again.
Looks like the Mississippi River is the trouble maker.
I'm a touch north of the worst but a little surprised that we had strong storms overnight with no warmth (I don't think it hit 40), sun or humidity yesterday.
From this morning's AFD. What does it mean by clear out?
Need to keep an
eye on the CAM trends, but currently this threat area looks to be
along and south of I80. The main question here for me is SBCAPE
and sfc based storms. If we clear out, game on, if you don't,
supplemental soundings will up us determine any cap. Soundings do
have a cap for sb storms that quickly erodes and any sun would
help this happen quicker. The current runs of the HRRR have very
strong midlevel mesos over IL. I think the best area for strong
tornadoes in our area is located east of a line from Memphis, MO
to Walcott, IA to Milledgeville, IL. We may see more tornadoes
with the line later, but the stronger ones will likely be along
and east of the Mississippi River.
Need to keep an
eye on the CAM trends, but currently this threat area looks to be
along and south of I80. The main question here for me is SBCAPE
and sfc based storms. If we clear out, game on, if you don't,
supplemental soundings will up us determine any cap. Soundings do
have a cap for sb storms that quickly erodes and any sun would
help this happen quicker. The current runs of the HRRR have very
strong midlevel mesos over IL. I think the best area for strong
tornadoes in our area is located east of a line from Memphis, MO
to Walcott, IA to Milledgeville, IL. We may see more tornadoes
with the line later, but the stronger ones will likely be along
and east of the Mississippi River.
They're basically saying, if there are showers/storms/clouds too early, it will keep the atmosphere from destabilizing as much for the main show this afternoon. If the sun comes out (clouds clear out), then the atmosphere will be primed for severe weather.
Seeing a lot of breaks/thinning of the clouds over a central IA right now.
