***Official 2021 Weather Thread***

[ClonesTwenty1]

3-5 inches Monday for Des Moines?

 

[ruflosn]

Well, this morning the local NWS is calling for 2-4 in the DSM area when all is said and done by Tuesday. However the TWC has their GFS model spitting out 12-18" and the Euro 8-12". They have Omaha getting either 24" or 12-18" depending on model. I am assuming the NWS thinks the dry air wins out. Will be interesting.

Are these totals for the entire season?

 

[CYEATHAWK]

Are these totals for the entire season?

No. The Weather Channel.....I think Kelly Cass has both graphs up this morning. Those totals were from Sunday through Tuesday. I had to double take because usually they are more in line with the local NWS stations. What they trotted out this morning looks more like something Earl would do. If I am a betting man I would say they come down more to more recognizable totals.

 

[SEIOWA CLONE]

Looks like it could be a mess down here along the Missouri Border, Monday morning. We told all the kids to take their chromebooks home and anything else they may need incase we are forced to go virtual on Monday. Nothing worse than freezing rain, it looks good, and 30 minutes later the highways are a skating rink.

Better to be safe than sorry.

 

[CychiatricWard]

3-5 inches Monday for Des Moines?

This one is confusing for sure. Monday still shows 1-3 inches for Des Moines but who the hell knows anymore. Jumped from 50/60 to 80% chance now, too.

 

[cycloner29]

Since I filled the snowblower with fuel, it probably won’t snow again. I also filled the gas can with fuel oil mix. We’ll see if this puts the bubble around Ames again.

 

[Gunnerclone]

Since I filled the snowblower with fuel, it probably won’t snow again. I also filled the gas can with with fuel oil mix. We’ll see if this puts the bubble around Ames again.

Sounds like you have a decent start on a meth lab in your garage if the snow thing doesn’t work out.

 

[enisthemenace]

Stopping by to say I’m not a fan of the weather mega thread. Carry on.

 

[ClonesTwenty1]

Moderate to Heavy Snow to Impact Northern Iowa - ISCN

A winter storm watch will be in effect Sunday evening through Monday morning as moderate to heavy snow will be possible.

www.iowachase.com

 

[Jer]

KCCI has 5-10” in metro for Monday. Anybody else?

 

[FDWxMan]

KCCI has 5-10” in metro for Monday. Anybody else?

I'll grudgingly second that for now.

 

[ClonesTwenty1]

I'll grudgingly second that for now.

Hopefully it keeps coming north!

 

[scyclonekid]

So not much for Ames area on Monday? My phone says winter storm watch yet it doesn’t include story county

 

[FDWxMan]

So not much for Ames area on Monday? My phone says winter storm watch yet it doesn’t include story county

Yeah, Ames is definitely down a notch. I'll say 2 to 5 for the moment.

Keep in mind, the snow totals will cut off more sharply on the north side than that map I posted shows. For various reasons, models tend to smear that out more than it should. Wouldn't surprise me FD, Waterloo got zeroed out, absent some more northward drift.

 

[scyclonekid]

Yeah, Ames is definitely down a notch. I'll say 2 to 5 for the moment.

Keep in mind, the snow totals will cut off more sharply on the north side than that map I posted shows. For various reasons, models tend to smear that out more than it should. Wouldn't surprise me FD, Waterloo got zeroed out, absent some more northward drift.

Any chances it shifts north 50 miles?

 

[ruflosn]

Any chances it shifts north 50 miles?

Yes.

 

[CloneGuy8]

Any chances it shifts north 50 miles?

 

[AirWalke]

GFS and NAM model runs are NUTS right now for central and south central Iowa. I don’t know how much they translate to actual forecasts, but it’s certainly something to watch.

 

[CychiatricWard]

GFS and NAM model runs are NUTS right now for central and south central Iowa. I don’t know how much they translate to actual forecasts, but it’s certainly something to watch.

What’s being predicted?

 

[Gorm]

And the model with "I'll smoke some of that" award goes to: