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not sure how being on the road against a top 25 team is relevant. The point spread is what it is...CycloneJerry already added context to that. Most of those games we were the road dog to a top 25 team. I believe we are 7-10-1 ATS now in them. Not nearly as bad as that initial stat would have you believe.
I think it's certainly interesting to note that a lot of those games we've lost which have had very close spreads have been games where the opponent was ranked.not sure how being on the road against a top 25 team is relevant. The point spread is what it is...
Sure, but it doesn't mean we were less likely to win.I think it's certainly interesting to note that a lot of those games we've lost which have had very close spreads have been games where the opponent was ranked.
Oh for sure. I think it's mostly clarification in that the games that have close spreads tend to be games that we're playing ranked opponents.Sure, but it doesn't mean we were less likely to win.
I think we win by 10+. Barring turnovers, I don't think our offense will have any problem moving the ball on this Kansas defense. I think we run the ball effectively and I think that'll open up the passing game. I also don't think they're going to have anyone that's going to be able to check X, so hoping for a big day out of him.
As for the defense, containing Daniels is obviously priority #1a and #1b. He's the straw that stirs the drink and unlike other QB's like him that we've faced in the past, he doesn't have an incredible supporting cast.
That would require Manning calling one hell of a game, or some big plays by the running backsOur O needs to score over 40 to win IMO.
You're right about their level of competition, but they have been really good on offense going back to last year. Rewatch that Texas game. They figured something out at the end of the year with Daniels at QB that makes them really hard to stop and have just kept rolling.I almost agree with everything you said. Except I don't believe Kansas has a better offense than Baylor. Baylor has played much tougher competition and I think people put to much stock into KU's win over Duke and Houston. Houston will be 6-6 in the American and Dukes' best win this year is a 2 win Temple team.
The did put up a bunch of points against a Texas te that finished 5-7 and had probably quit on the season at that point.You're right about their level of competition, but they have been really good on offense going back to last year. Rewatch that Texas game. They figured something out at the end of the year with Daniels at QB that makes them really hard to stop and have just kept rolling.
I hope I'm wrong and our defense is able to handle them. We did a pretty good job with Baylor outside a couple miscues and the bogus penalties.
Great info.
- ISU (3-1)
- Rush Offense: #93
- Rush Defense: #7
- Pass Offense: #51
- Pass Defense: #32
- Fewest Penalties: #62
- Turnovers Lost: #87
- 2 Fumbles & 5 Interceptions
- 3rd down Conversion Percentage: #15 @ 51%
- Kansas (4-0)
- Rush Offense: #8
- Rush Defense: #65
- Pass Offense: #83
- Pass Defense: #100
- Fewest Penalties: #26
- Turnovers Lost: #35
- 3 Fumbles & 1 Interception
- 3rd Down Conversion Percentage: #2 @ 67%
Actually I think the Baylor game was one of the few we made early adjustments on defense, how did that 3rd quarter go with a half time to dissect and counter the adjustments?Not sure on score yet but here's the concerns...
It’s really hard to say it about a KU team, but they may be the most competent and dynamic offense we play all year.
My biggest fear is that KU is going to give us something new – they can be incredibly successful throwing down field, but the QB scramble is just as effective. That has not been a friendly combination to us in the past. We have good run defense, but not against a mobile QB when we drop back into coverage.
It’s all going to come down to our offense keeping up with their offense (if it can). They could dink and dunk at will against us with our bend but don’t break defense. On the flip side, we’ve shown a tendency to blow coverage on the backside this year, we just haven’t faced a competent offense outside of Baylor that could take advantage of it.
Those explosive plays could put our offense in an unfriendly position when we’re so far turnover prone and inexperienced. I hope I’m wrong, but I don’t think we can wait to halftime to make defensive adjustments this time.
So does this favor ISU? TLDR
- ISU (3-1)
- Rush Offense: #93
- Rush Defense: #7
- Pass Offense: #51
- Pass Defense: #32
- Fewest Penalties: #62
- Turnovers Lost: #87
- 2 Fumbles & 5 Interceptions
- 3rd down Conversion Percentage: #15 @ 51%
- Kansas (4-0)
- Rush Offense: #8
- Rush Defense: #65
- Pass Offense: #83
- Pass Defense: #100
- Fewest Penalties: #26
- Turnovers Lost: #35
- 3 Fumbles & 1 Interception
- 3rd Down Conversion Percentage: #2 @ 67%