Friday OT - Crystal Ball
- Thread starter Angie
- Start date
My hunch is ISU is a 3. Maybe with a win over Arizona it could climb to a 2. A lot of other teams that are high-2 area don't face any more opponents that would drop its status enough.
St. Louis for first weekend looks probable even if it's 3 seed.
No realistic chance for me to attend anything this season.
St. Louis for first weekend looks probable even if it's 3 seed.
No realistic chance for me to attend anything this season.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
I thought we should be the last 2 seed going into the Big 12 tournament, and now I'm sure that we deserve a 2. I have no plans to go, but if we get to the Final Four, I'll be extremely tempted.
My guess is a two seed. The committee seemed to have liked us (and the big 12) with us being a one seed in their early release.
I don't see how they put 3 B10 teams in the top two seeds and only two from the B12.
Not going to any games but will have the four screen setup rolling for the first two days of the tourney.
I don't see how they put 3 B10 teams in the top two seeds and only two from the B12.
Not going to any games but will have the four screen setup rolling for the first two days of the tourney.
Initially was going to post 3 seed; but on looking at data -- I think they will be a 2.
I think Houston, Florida, UConn are very tight for the 4-5-6 slots (ie last 1 and top two 2 seeds).
So that leaves KU, TT, PUR, ILL, Zaga, MSU, Nubs, Bama, UVA. Need to be ahead of 8 of 9 to get a 2.
ISU has more Q1+Q2 wins and higher Q1+Q2 win % than all of them except UVA, Zaga, and Nubs (more wins but same % as Nubs). And Zaga & UVA have much worse SOS than ISU (and everyone for that matter).
ISU are higher WAB (per BT) than all of them except MSU and Nubs; tied with Zaga and .1 ahead of UVA.
So you can make a good argument they are ahead of all of them. I think MSU, Nubs, and maybe Bama (bump for high SOS?) are the biggest risks for ISU to drop to 3 seed. So root for UCLA and Purdue today.
Side note, I don't get how Illinois is ahead of MSU or Nubs in most brackets. Similar SOS, and Illinois has less Q1 (and Q1+Q2) wins, and lower win %, lower WAB, and one more pure loss. How are they higher?
I think Houston, Florida, UConn are very tight for the 4-5-6 slots (ie last 1 and top two 2 seeds).
So that leaves KU, TT, PUR, ILL, Zaga, MSU, Nubs, Bama, UVA. Need to be ahead of 8 of 9 to get a 2.
ISU has more Q1+Q2 wins and higher Q1+Q2 win % than all of them except UVA, Zaga, and Nubs (more wins but same % as Nubs). And Zaga & UVA have much worse SOS than ISU (and everyone for that matter).
ISU are higher WAB (per BT) than all of them except MSU and Nubs; tied with Zaga and .1 ahead of UVA.
So you can make a good argument they are ahead of all of them. I think MSU, Nubs, and maybe Bama (bump for high SOS?) are the biggest risks for ISU to drop to 3 seed. So root for UCLA and Purdue today.
Side note, I don't get how Illinois is ahead of MSU or Nubs in most brackets. Similar SOS, and Illinois has less Q1 (and Q1+Q2) wins, and lower win %, lower WAB, and one more pure loss. How are they higher?
Based on how things shook out last couple days, i am more convinced ISU will be a 2.
I don’t care too much about seeding. Just give me St Louis first round and the Chicago/Midwest regional.
