I think Florida losses to Oklahoma no matter what, but when you lose your three leading receivers who combined for 24 TD catches and other important pieces it’s gonna hurt. Imagine if Iowa State found out they had to play without Hall, Kolar, and Hutchinson.
The line went from -3 to +8.5 after the opt outs.
I saw someone asking about talent disparity earlier in the thread and where is it, well here are the Oregon and Iowa State draft prospects from the mock draft and big board consensus, which is pretty neat in that it combines all the prominent sources to create a consensus ranking of prospects:
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/colleges/2021/iowa-state-cyclones
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I looked at the past years consensus big boards and they had Allen Lazard, Hakeem Butler, and David Montgomery all higher than they were actually drafted - so I don’t think there’s any anti ISU bias.
Here is Oregon’s for 2021, with the opt outs crossed out. I crossed out Verdell because I also don’t think he’s playing. For 2022 they have Thibodeaux third overall, and for 2023 Justin Flowe (injured) 6th, Noah Sewell 14th, and Verone McKinley 28th.
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