Not sure anyone is storming the field tomorrow.
CyHawk point spread prediction
- Thread starter hoosman
- Start date
Sharps are bettors, not the book.
What does "smoke" Iowa entail? I was born approximately smack dab in the middle of Iowa beating ISU 15 times in a row. In that time, there are two games in the series where I would say ISU has "smoked" Iowa - 1998 and 2005. 1998 Iowa was obviously a terrible team and good on ISU for doing what needed to be done there to get that monkey off their back. 2005 was, on the day of the game, considered a big upset on the tail of Iowa's 2002-2004 stretch of really good teams, but as it turned out was just one mediocre team whoopin' the azz of their preseason overrated (to be found mediocre) in-state rival they were (understandably) sick and tired of hearing about.
If we had a defense more like what we had in 2011-2014, I would think getting smoked by ISU in Ames was a reasonable possibility. With the defense we have right now, I only see it as something that could happen if we cough the ball up a lot on our side of the field.
I see this as low scoring again and whoever coughs ball up more loses. Both of our Ds are our best units (yes our defense is better than 95% of those defenses your marvel at Purdy carving up) and neither of our OLs are good enough right now to run the ball and control the clock and eventually wear out the other D to run it up a little bit late in the game.
I think if ISU plays like they are capable of, they can obviously beat Iowa. They are a very good and experienced group. The only way they "smoke" Iowa is if they play like they are capable of and TO margin is +3 or more for ISU.
I think there's way more pressure on ISU to win this game but I think the atmosphere behind them negates that to an extent (2019 was crazy and cool to see on TV - kudos on that Clone fans). I think there's less pressure than normal for Iowa to perform here since we have a game up on the contenders in our division and we got reps against a P5 opponent to hopefully give our newer starters some confidence that they can compete when it counts. I don't like that this is our QB's first road start with an actual hostile crowd.
I don't gamble but if I did, there's no way I'd ever bet on this game unless it was to bet ISU moneyline for needed booze/drug money after a crushing defeat. I don't like over-unders in extra intense games like this where a bad mistake can snowball or I'd bet the under (44.5 is what I saw). As for a risk free prediction, I will hope that Iowa takes advantage of a late Purdy mistake (coverage blindside sack/strip or interception trying to heroically force something late) to win 24-17 (which would be under).
Congrats on getting GameDay in town again. Try not to whine too much when they also talk about Iowa since, you know, we're the other team in the featured game and that's how GameDay works. Be normal, act like you're getting the respect you are actually getting (such as a top 10 preseason ranking and hosting GameDay for the 2nd time in 3 years), and instead complain about the annoying focus on agriculture that something like 85% of our population does not participate in.
Eric Church song:
"I left my hometown, too many closed minds...
gonna have a record year, listening to Chrissy Hynde.
Gonna drive my chevy to the levy.
Gonna pick the hawks and bet heavy....."
"I left my hometown, too many closed minds...
gonna have a record year, listening to Chrissy Hynde.
Gonna drive my chevy to the levy.
Gonna pick the hawks and bet heavy....."
No way, Petras is clearly the better QB - Clones will be lucky to only give up 2 Pick-Sixes like IU last week. And if they couldn't run against UNI's 8 man box, there's no way Breece gets close to 100 yards against Iowa's DL.
*Double reverse jinx, *****
And people wonder why most fan bases of other teams cannot stand EIU. His whole thesis, is just more arrogance that we have come to expect from Iowa. Only reason Game Day is in Ames is for Iowa, only way ISU beats EIU handily is if they are +3 on turnovers. Hell no ****, what did you have Saturday 2 pick sixes? Is Iowa really 30 points better than Indiana, without those 14 points supplied by the defense, I doubt it.
The game is in Ames, we are the better team, there is pressure on both squads, which is good. This game like all the others will come down to turnovers and the ability to make game changing plays. The team that protects the ball Saturday and gets a long run or pass, will win the game.
This is the first game for the EIU QB in a road game with a crowd, remember he came in the same year that Purdy did, and one is an All Conference player, the other has doubters about his ability to manage a team at this level.
Both teams are top 15 in the country and this thread is each side saying they going to lose lol.
Iowa's sub-par QB, unproven OL, mediocre WRs, seriously green DL, against the most talented ISU roster in recent history, maybe ever. I understand that in-state rivalry games like this bring weirdness but looking at it objectively, Iowa has no business winning this game.
I think Indiana is seriously overrated but if I’m wrong then Iowa has a very good chance at being a top 15 team this year that could win the West and/or 10 games. ISU can have its best team ever and still lose Saturday to what could end up being one of the 3 or 4 best teams of the Ferentz era.
Lol, dude this is not going to be one of the 3 or 4 best teams of the KF era. Our D is very good aside from a green DL with 3 new starters, we have a great RB and TE, Tracy has serious upside talent and speed, but let's not get carried away.
I'm thinking ISU will be favored by 2.5 around kick-off. My gut is telling me Iowa wins 27-14 and in control the whole game.
Eat a Snickers, you're not you when you are hungry.
Line dropped to 3.5 for a bit then jumped to 4.5. I think we'll see this all week. Public is betting down the line then the sharps bet it back up. I was hoping to get 3 but I don't know it'll happen.
100% fair. I should also let the record note that I can never predict an ISU win. Bad things happen when I do. However, weird things happen in the Iow/ISU game and Iowa tends to not make bone-headed mistakes like we do.
We need to end Petras’ season on Saturday. Knock him out like Drew Tate and finish off little brother.
