Bubble Watch

I'm sorry, but there's just no way we're not a lock at this point. "Should be in" doesn't make sense at this point.

our record, SOS, and RPI doesn't match up with the other "locks". that win at KU is nice but overall our body of work isn't that spectacular. look at the Nitty Gritty sheet. We are a 7 seed and maybe one of the least sexy 7 seeds record-wise.
 
I don't think it will be 1 team at the bottom most years, but Kansas State would be my guess next year. Who knows though, thought that this year and wasn't close to true. Maybe it will be Tech? I don't really know their situation other than they have a lot of seniors.
I expect Tech to be better next year. Last I checked by they play 4 juniors and one senior. That was senior was benched vs us so I don't know what class the fifth guy was for Tech.

I think KSU will be the bottom next year if Weber is still there.
 
our record, SOS, and RPI doesn't match up with the other "locks". that win at KU is nice but overall our body of work isn't that spectacular. look at the Nitty Gritty sheet. We are a 7 seed and maybe one of the least sexy 7 seeds record-wise.

Maybe, but we're also tied for second with 3 games left in what's considered the top or at least second best conference in the country. We can't get any worse than 4th in the conference and there's no way less than 4 teams from the Big 12 are getting in.
 
Maybe, but we're also tied for second with 3 games left in what's considered the top or at least second best conference in the country. We can't get any worse than 4th in the conference and there's no way less than 4 teams from the Big 12 are getting in.

i totally agree. but record-wise we crapped the bed in non-con. we also have two of the toughest games yet to play. don't think i'm being critical.
 
our record, SOS, and RPI doesn't match up with the other "locks". that win at KU is nice but overall our body of work isn't that spectacular. look at the Nitty Gritty sheet. We are a 7 seed and maybe one of the least sexy 7 seeds record-wise.
That's why the committee needs to look further into than just the number of wins. Those inflated records could be due to a soft schedule or weak conference. Gonzaga had a decent non-con but once they got into their conference it was pretty weak. There is no way they would have gone undefeated in the B12 or ACC.
 
I'm sorry, but there's just no way we're not a lock at this point. "Should be in" doesn't make sense at this point.

Exactly. Does someone get fired if a 'lock' ends up not making it or something? We're a lock, I'd stake my job on it.
 
They need to go back to 64 or 65 teams. When teams like Pitt, Clemson, and Indiana are still showing up as possible bubble candidates there are serious issues.
 
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That's why the committee needs to look further into than just the number of wins. Those inflated records could be due to a soft schedule or weak conference. Gonzaga had a decent non-con but once they got into their conference it was pretty weak. There is no way they would have gone undefeated in the B12 or ACC.[/QUOTE

Very good point. No way is Gonzaga unbeaten if they have to play Kansas twice. Or Baylor or Iowa State, etc. No way will they win the National Title either. Sooner or later it'll be "bedtime for Gonzo!"
 
I expect Tech to be better next year. Last I checked by they play 4 juniors and one senior. That was senior was benched vs us so I don't know what class the fifth guy was for Tech.

I think KSU will be the bottom next year if Weber is still there.
Didn't realize they were juniors. What do you think of Chris Beard? I kinda think Tubby would have more wins with that team.
 
Really? I sort of thought Tech (and TCU) were both a year or so ahead of schedule.
TCU I agree. I though Tech was going to be a tourney team before the season started. Seemed like they had enough pieces returning to do what they did last year.
 
I keep forgetting Tech even made the tournament last year. I believe their fans have too, judging by last nights attendance.
 
Tuesday's "bubble losers" — hurt/did not help their case:
Georgia Tech (lost at home to N.C. State) ... still chances to stay in it, time running out
Indiana (lost at Iowa) ... opportunities have almost run dry; one loss from being off the board
Akron (lost at Bowling Green — 267 RPI) .... off the board for at-large
Clemson (lost to VT; not a bad loss, but Clemson needs good wins at this point) ... realistically, off the board

"Bubble winners" (each for "avoiding bad loss")
Rhode Island (stayed afloat by winning at LaSalle)
Marquette (stayed afloat by beating StJ at home)
Ole Miss (stayed afloat by winning at Mississippi State)
 
Not much to do about the bubble at this time but Northwestern was destroyed by Illinois @ Illinois last night. They scored 18 points in the 2nd half. They have been sitting on the same seed line as us last day or so on many predictions.
 
Really? I sort of thought Tech (and TCU) were both a year or so ahead of schedule.

Tech: overrated
TCU: underrated

Jaylen Fisher is the difference maker. He's going to be good next year. Tech will kind of be what they were last year and what they are this year again next year.
 
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ISU's RPI up to 38.

Bubble winners & losers, 2-22:
Winners/survivors: Syracuse (beat Duke — the bank was open); Michigan (avoided bad loss at Rutgers); Providence (won at Creighton); Seton Hall (beat Xavier); Nevada (beat Boise).
Losers/Missed opportunities: TCU (lost big to KU at home); KSU (lost at home to OSU); Tennessee (lost at home to Vanderbilt); Georgetown (lost at home to DePaul; Hoyas now toast for at-large); Boise State (missed opp at Nevada, probably off the board)

Cal lost at home to Oregon on buzzer-beater. Not harmful, but a win could've helped the Bears profile.
 
Results of Lunardi's 5-8 seeds this week ahead of his latest update tomorrow:

(5) Cincy - Won vs Memphis
(5) SMU - Off
(5) Virginia - Lost vs Miami
(5) Wisconsin - Lost @ Ohio State
(6) Notre Dame - Off
(6) Saint Mary's - Won @ Pepperdine
(6) Maryland - Lost vs Minnesota
(6) Creighton - Lost vs Providence
(7) Xavier - Lost @ Seton Hall
(7) OK State - Won @ Kansas State
(7) ISU - Won @ Texas Tech
(7) South Carolina - Lost @ Florida
(8) VCU - Won vs Saint Louis
(8) Northwestern - Lost @ Illinois
(8) Minnesota - Won @ Maryland
(8) Dayton - Won vs George Mason

A lot of teams on the 6/7 line losing already this week. Certainly helps us to move in the right direction.
 
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