We are certainly vulnerable to a first-round upset because we go on long scoring droughts. We are really strong defensively, but if we can’t score, we can’t put teams away. I’ve seen people compare us to Virginia, which is probably a good comparison. UVa is capable of beating anyone (2019 national championship) but also losing to anyone (UMBC and Furman upsets). That’s where we’re at.
We’ve also now established a trend where TJ’s teams struggle at the end of the year. 2 years ago we had to beat a lousy K-State team on the road to feel good about getting in the tourney despite a stellar non con and conference start. Last year speaks for itself (the Pitt game is probably a top-10 worst ISU game all time). This year we’ve been getting wins, but are struggling to even reach 60 points the last 5 games