I agree that aggregating P12/B12 inventory in some fashion for bidding makes a lot of sense on several counts. My preference from the B12 side would be B12 dissolution and have the R8 (minus WV) + BYU be added without WV and the AAC newbies. That 20 school model could include the old P10 and a new 10 team conference with UU & CU or two divisions.
Once the B10 deal is completed (probably sometime this month), the P12 is next in line and they will initially attempt to negotiate new deals with their existing 12 schools (Plan A). If the Plan A numbers don't look good (especially for USC), I think Plan B will be 4 or 8 school expansion from the B12. 4 schools would mean those 4 departing schools pay $80M each in exit fees. 8 schools would be mean B12 dissolution with no exit fees.
How the B10 deal shakes out will have immense consequences for both the P12 and B12. If ABC/ESPN gets shut out, I would expect ESPN to make every attempt to lock up (and pay extra) the P12 to backfill the lost B10 inventory in advance of a new entrant like Amazon or Apple getting involved and that could be bad for the B12 if they don't team up with the P12 in some fashion IMO. Aggregating the inventory for open bidding to the incumbents (ESPN & Fox) and to new entrants maxes out payouts for both the P12 and R8 while increasing the odds that P12 retains USC.
I had hoped for that too, before we added the new schools. Now I think that ship has sailed. I dont think we are going to dump the 4 new schools plus a couple after we just made a deal for them.
I could see us adding Pac schools especially if they start looking for greener pastures, and/or the B1G poaches a few. But I think we are stuck with the few we added.
The only other way that I could see this is if a group of Big 12 schools leave the Big 12, and join up with a group of Pac 12 schools. Which could be a possibility. But Right now the Big 12 is in a stronger position to add, than the Pac 12.
I think we are pushing toward the elimination of at least 1 Power conference if not 2 in the near future, before moving toward 2 power conferences.
-I could see this upcoming shift being the B1G and Big 12 absorb the Pac 12, bringing us to a P4.
-The next round the SEC, B1G, and Big 12 absorb the ACC, down to a P3.
-Finally, they decide how many actually works, and how they want it layed out and the B1G and SEC pick apart the Big 12 to get to 2 super conferences with control of all major teams. Thus dividing up divisions, pods or whatever they want. My feeling is they will each have 24-32 teams each at that point.
Probably a 10+ year process overall. It really just depends how unhappy the Pac 12 teams are with their situation right now, to spark the chaos again.