Big 12 Expansion (new thread)

G-Rock

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This is why the alliance was formed to begin with. If it goes to 8 does the new Big 12 get an autobid?
 
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WhoISthis

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People may have to eat some crow if the money is close to the pac 12

but the problem is that coaches have to recruit against the perception of this narrative.

The new schools have an advantage because the esteem with which they’re held is going up.

the 8 left behinds have to make up some ground because the public perception isn’t the one we see here that talks about how competitive and exciting it will be.
Have you looked at our recruiting rankings that built this successful run?

That is the thing, very few of the 8 have much room to fall. Iowa St's recent success wasn't built on recruiting inflated from being with OuT. It wasn't even built with the perception Iowa St was good.

The number of high school kids coming out each year is not changing, and where Iowa St falls in line for those kids will not be worse than where they were when building the 2017,2018, 2019 and so on rosters.

Any slight loss in perception of being the second best conference to now the third to fifth best, is offset by now being viewed a good program, which will only grow with better playoff access, which it will have.
 

WhoISthis

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There's a lot to consider in the viewership numbers of this game. First and foremost, this match-up did not include a "Blueblood" program. Here's a list of games since the 2017 season that involved Iowa or Iowa State and did not include any of Michigan, Penn St, Ohio St, Oklahoma, or Texas:

DateTimeNetworkTeam1Team2Viewers
11/16/20194:00 PMFOXMinnesotaIowa4,410,000
9/11/20214:30 PMABCIowaIowa State3,890,000
11/11/20174:00 PMABCIowaWisconsin3,780,000
11/23/201812:00 PMFOXNebraskaIowa3,664,000
9/22/20188:30 PMFOXWisconsinIowa3,313,000
11/11/201712:00 PMABCOklahoma StateIowa State2,995,000
10/28/20173:30 PMABCTCUIowa State2,850,000
10/24/20203:30 PMFOXIowa StateOklahoma State2,810,000
11/27/20201:00 PMFOXNebraskaIowa2,690,000
11/10/20183:30 PMFOXNorthwesternIowa2,636,000
9/30/20174:30 PMFOXIowaMichigan State2,520,000
11/9/20194:00 PMFOXIowaWisconsin2,320,000
9/8/20185:00 PMFOXIowa StateIowa2,017,000

Only one game drew a bigger audience in the last 4+ seasons.

If history were a guide, one would expect this type of game to draw around mid- to upper 2 millions, but instead, it drew just under 4 million.

This was a good showing, considering the teams involved (or, in this example, not involved).
All this with only recent success.

What this confirms, particularly with a little longer period of success, is that ISU in the BIG against other large state schools or SEC has a similar valuation as other non-bluuebloods, and likely higher than most realize. The conference brand helps make the program value, as much as the individual program brand makes the conference brand. Southern Miss could quickly pull Miss St numbers if switching conferences.

Of course, networks are trying to segregate. They want to be able to increase the matchup of the teams that pull, so 4 million is the new low mark, and more of the matchups are getting those Ohio St-Oregon numbers.
 
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CascadeClone

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I'm quite sure that the alliance conferences (and Big 12, of course) would rather see a Big 12 autobid than see the SEC get a 3rd or 4th team in it.

Feels like posturing for the negotiations. "We might approve 12 teams, but only if we make sure that ESPN doesn't jam 5 SEC teams in there and take all the gd money."

My guess is they will want a 2 team per conference limit, or only 3 teams from a conference if they are all in the top 5, or can't take a 3rd team from at the expense of a 2nd P5 or G5 team that is ranked in the top 15, or something like that. Or they will revenue share the money more - instead of shares per team, it will be 50% equal to all and 50% shares per team.
 

KnappShack

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Feels like posturing for the negotiations. "We might approve 12 teams, but only if we make sure that ESPN doesn't jam 5 SEC teams in there and take all the gd money."

My guess is they will want a 2 team per conference limit, or only 3 teams from a conference if they are all in the top 5, or can't take a 3rd team from at the expense of a 2nd P5 or G5 team that is ranked in the top 15, or something like that. Or they will revenue share the money more - instead of shares per team, it will be 50% equal to all and 50% shares per team.

I'll say it until I die....if you don't win your goddam conference in college football then you can't be national champion.

Also, the old NFL sudden death rules are the best OT and the rule change is garbage....and college OT is an abomination
 
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Cyclonepride

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Feels like posturing for the negotiations. "We might approve 12 teams, but only if we make sure that ESPN doesn't jam 5 SEC teams in there and take all the gd money."

My guess is they will want a 2 team per conference limit, or only 3 teams from a conference if they are all in the top 5, or can't take a 3rd team from at the expense of a 2nd P5 or G5 team that is ranked in the top 15, or something like that. Or they will revenue share the money more - instead of shares per team, it will be 50% equal to all and 50% shares per team.

And I think that their statements about protecting college football will lead to an inclusion of the Big 12 champion, as I think they understand that it's a regional sport that ignites a national passion.
 

t-noah

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I'm quite sure that the alliance conferences (and Big 12, of course) would rather see a Big 12 autobid than see the SEC get a 3rd or 4th team in it.
You would think so. And who is on the (maybe I should say 'was on' now) new playoff committee anyway? Wasn't Pollard?

Until further notice talk of an expanded college football playoff is on Hold.

Sorry SEC, espn. I really hope it doesn't go your way when the talk returns.
 
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t-noah

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I'll say it until I die....if you don't win your goddam conference in college football then you can't be national champion.

Also, the old NFL sudden death rules are the best OT and the rule change is garbage....and college OT is an abomination
You go, man! :)
 

knowlesjam

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You would think so. And who is on the (maybe I should say 'was on' now) new playoff committee anyway? Wasn't Pollard?

Until further notice talk of an expanded college football playoff is on Hold.

Sorry SEC, espn. I really hope it doesn't go your way when the talk returns.
And to think that if OuT had kept their yaps shut for just 2-3 months more that the 12 team CFP would have been signed and the SEC (and ESPN) could look forward to 3-5 teams making the CFP EVERY YEAR! Now...it may take several years to get any sort of expanded CFP approved and it will certainly come with specific checks and balances against the SEC. That little news article that broke the OuT gambit to the SEC cost the SEC (and ESPN) billions of $'s. Yes...billions.
 
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Win5002

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I'll say it until I die....if you don't win your goddam conference in college football then you can't be national champion.

Also, the old NFL sudden death rules are the best OT and the rule change is garbage....and college OT is an abomination

If there were 4 leagues and each conference could have a playoff of 4-6 teams that wouldn't be so bad but it probably doesn't happen with CFB. Especially if we could do away with the abomination that is post season exhibition games known as bowl games.

On the other hand you are using a standard that no other sport uses, including the NFL. There isn't a relevant sport where teams that finish 2nd in a league don't have access to the playoffs and the sports championship.

What's not needed with an expanded playoff of 12 or more are CCG's. Just go to 16 or 24 and eliminate those games but the greed of the SEC & B1G will always fight that. Yes, lets have one more meaningless game so we can throw up the strawman argument expanded playoffs are too many games for these kids.

Its one of hte reasons the NFL is a much better product. You don't have engineered outcomes, politicking, etc. Instead you have a true playoff where the rules are set before the season and everyone plays their way in and there are not different sets of rules for different teams.
 

JM4CY

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Feels like posturing for the negotiations. "We might approve 12 teams, but only if we make sure that ESPN doesn't jam 5 SEC teams in there and take all the gd money."

My guess is they will want a 2 team per conference limit, or only 3 teams from a conference if they are all in the top 5, or can't take a 3rd team from at the expense of a 2nd P5 or G5 team that is ranked in the top 15, or something like that. Or they will revenue share the money more - instead of shares per team, it will be 50% equal to all and 50% shares per team.
The SEC will want atleast 3 teams in the mix. I don’t see a world where they only are allowed two.

What’s more, whoever is on that “committee” choosing the teams will be absolutely huge.
 

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