Big 12 Championship Game Computer Projection
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
Our situation's slightly better with OU winning:
Iowa St./Oklahoma win: 69.8% (11.1% 1st, 58.7% 2nd)
Iowa St./TCU win: 64.2% (12.4% 1st, 51.8% 2nd)
Not as much fun now, but for the sake of completion:
Oklahoma: 98.6% (98.1% 1st, 0.5% 2nd)
TCU: 80.3% (0.1% 1st, 80.2% 2nd)
Oklahoma St.: 18.9% (1.3% 1st, 17.6% 2nd)
West Virginia: 1.8% (0.5% 1st, 1.3% 2nd)
Iowa St.: 0.4% (0.0% 1st, 0.4% 2nd)
Oklahoma/TCU: 80.2%
Oklahoma/Oklahoma St.: 17.5%
Oklahoma St./West Virginia: 1.3%
Oklahoma/West Virginia: 0.5%
Iowa St./Oklahoma: 0.4%
Oklahoma St./TCU: 0.1%
Where does Iowa State's 0.4% come from? Basically:
ISU and Oklahoma win out.
TCU and Oklahoma State each lose one of their last two.
Texas beats West Virginia and loses to Texas Tech.
Then you have ISU, TCU, and Oklahoma State in a three-way tie for second place. They all go 1-1 in a round-robin among the teams, so you jump to the second tiebreaker, which ISU wins by virtue of beating Oklahoma when neither of the other two teams did. So, uh, that's what to cheer for.
Oklahoma: 98.6% (98.1% 1st, 0.5% 2nd)
TCU: 80.3% (0.1% 1st, 80.2% 2nd)
Oklahoma St.: 18.9% (1.3% 1st, 17.6% 2nd)
West Virginia: 1.8% (0.5% 1st, 1.3% 2nd)
Iowa St.: 0.4% (0.0% 1st, 0.4% 2nd)
Oklahoma/TCU: 80.2%
Oklahoma/Oklahoma St.: 17.5%
Oklahoma St./West Virginia: 1.3%
Oklahoma/West Virginia: 0.5%
Iowa St./Oklahoma: 0.4%
Oklahoma St./TCU: 0.1%
Where does Iowa State's 0.4% come from? Basically:
ISU and Oklahoma win out.
TCU and Oklahoma State each lose one of their last two.
Texas beats West Virginia and loses to Texas Tech.
Then you have ISU, TCU, and Oklahoma State in a three-way tie for second place. They all go 1-1 in a round-robin among the teams, so you jump to the second tiebreaker, which ISU wins by virtue of beating Oklahoma when neither of the other two teams did. So, uh, that's what to cheer for.
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