Auto-Bid Madness: 2019
- Thread starter cyclones500
- Start date
Agree, UT is among teams in teeter-totter zone.
Even a win over KU might not seal the deal, pending quality winners by other bubble teams and additional big-stealing.
It's possible a loss to Kansas wouldn't spell doom --- other than historically, no team 16-16 has gotten an auto bid --- first time for everything, I suppose. Basically, the longer Texas can continue playing, at least it has direct control. Once you're out, you're at the mercy of circumstance.
I still think Nebraska is out, but if they beat Wisconsin they'll be working their way back in as a potential bubble team.
And it means a bid-steal, too. Someone got knocked off the bubble (Texas comes to mind).
It opens the door for a few -- we have several who have Davidson, also a Dayton and the Bonnies.
Auto Bids (25):
Duke (ACC) Projected 1-2 seed
Iowa St. (Big 12) Projected 5-6 seed
Villanova (Big East) Projected 5-6 seed
Buffalo (MAC) Projected 6 seed
Wofford (Southern) Projected 7 seed
Utah St. (MWC) Projected 9-10 seed
Oregon (Pac-12) Projected 11 or 12 seed
New Mexico St. (WAC) Projected 12 seed
St. Mary's (WCC) Projected 12 seed
Murray St. (OVC) Projected 12 seed
Liberty (A-Sun) Projected 13 seed
Old Dominion (C-USA) Projected 13-14 seed
Vermont (Am. East) Projected 13-14 seed
Northeastern (Colonial) Projected 14 seed
Northern Kentucky (Horizon) Projected 14 or 15 seed
Montana (Big Sky) Projected 14 or 15 seed
Colgate (Patriot) Projected 15 seed
Abilene Christian (Southland) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Gardner-Webb (Big South) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Bradley (MVC) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Iona (MAAC) Projected 16 seed
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC) Projected 16 seed
North Dakota St. (Summit) Projected 16 seed
NC Central (MEAC) Projected 16 seed
Prairie View (SWAC) Projected 16 seed
Other Locks (14):
ACC: Va Tech, Louisville, Virginia, Florida St.
A-10: VCU
American: UCF
Big 10: Maryland, Purdue
Big 12: Baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas St., Kansas
SEC: LSU
WCC: Gonzaga
Bubble Teams (16):
A-Sun: Lipscomb (likely out)
ACC: Clemson, NC St., Syracuse
Big 10: Indiana, Ohio St.
Big 12: Oklahoma, TCU, Texas
Big East: St. John's, Xavier, Seton Hall
OVC: Belmont (First 4 Out)
SEC: Ole Miss, Alabama
Southern: UNC Greensboro (Next 4 Out)
Saturday - 1) UC Irvine vs. 3) Cal St. Fullerton at 10:30 pm on ESPN2 (Big West)
Sunday - 1) Harvard vs. 2) Yale at 11 am on ESPN2 (Ivy)
Sunday - 4) St. Bonnies vs. 6) St. Louis at 12 pm on CBS (A-10)
Sunday - 5) Auburn vs. 3) Tennessee at 12 pm on ESPN (SEC)
Sunday - 1) Georgia St. vs. 2) UT-Arlington at 1 pm on ESPN2 (Sun Belt)
Sunday - 1) Houston vs. 2) Cincy at 2:15 pm on ESPN (American)
Sunday - 1) Michigan St. vs. 3) Michigan at 2:30 pm on CBS (Big 10)
Duke (ACC) Projected 1-2 seed
Iowa St. (Big 12) Projected 5-6 seed
Villanova (Big East) Projected 5-6 seed
Buffalo (MAC) Projected 6 seed
Wofford (Southern) Projected 7 seed
Utah St. (MWC) Projected 9-10 seed
Oregon (Pac-12) Projected 11 or 12 seed
New Mexico St. (WAC) Projected 12 seed
St. Mary's (WCC) Projected 12 seed
Murray St. (OVC) Projected 12 seed
Liberty (A-Sun) Projected 13 seed
Old Dominion (C-USA) Projected 13-14 seed
Vermont (Am. East) Projected 13-14 seed
Northeastern (Colonial) Projected 14 seed
Northern Kentucky (Horizon) Projected 14 or 15 seed
Montana (Big Sky) Projected 14 or 15 seed
Colgate (Patriot) Projected 15 seed
Abilene Christian (Southland) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Gardner-Webb (Big South) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Bradley (MVC) Projected 15 or 16 seed
Iona (MAAC) Projected 16 seed
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC) Projected 16 seed
North Dakota St. (Summit) Projected 16 seed
NC Central (MEAC) Projected 16 seed
Prairie View (SWAC) Projected 16 seed
Other Locks (14):
ACC: Va Tech, Louisville, Virginia, Florida St.
A-10: VCU
American: UCF
Big 10: Maryland, Purdue
Big 12: Baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas St., Kansas
SEC: LSU
WCC: Gonzaga
Bubble Teams (16):
A-Sun: Lipscomb (likely out)
ACC: Clemson, NC St., Syracuse
Big 10: Indiana, Ohio St.
Big 12: Oklahoma, TCU, Texas
Big East: St. John's, Xavier, Seton Hall
OVC: Belmont (First 4 Out)
SEC: Ole Miss, Alabama
Southern: UNC Greensboro (Next 4 Out)
Saturday - 1) UC Irvine vs. 3) Cal St. Fullerton at 10:30 pm on ESPN2 (Big West)
Sunday - 1) Harvard vs. 2) Yale at 11 am on ESPN2 (Ivy)
Sunday - 4) St. Bonnies vs. 6) St. Louis at 12 pm on CBS (A-10)
Sunday - 5) Auburn vs. 3) Tennessee at 12 pm on ESPN (SEC)
Sunday - 1) Georgia St. vs. 2) UT-Arlington at 1 pm on ESPN2 (Sun Belt)
Sunday - 1) Houston vs. 2) Cincy at 2:15 pm on ESPN (American)
Sunday - 1) Michigan St. vs. 3) Michigan at 2:30 pm on CBS (Big 10)
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I don’t want to play this Oregon team right now. Also. PAC12 blows. My god.
Bill Walton is really growing on me though. He's made me laugh out at least twice watching this game.
Also, there was a completely random Larry Eustachy sighting during the game; it looks like he's right behind the Oregon bench.
Still stoked and having trouble getting sleepy...
So, I decided to goof around and see where I stand on this. If my calculations are correct, I need Houston, Harvard & Tennessee to win and St Bonnie to lose. If my three win & St Bonnie wins, I tie with Cooler. If either Houston or Harvard loses, then I think cykee05 wins. Confidence in these calculations rests on the hope that my brain is not total mush right now.
So, I decided to goof around and see where I stand on this. If my calculations are correct, I need Houston, Harvard & Tennessee to win and St Bonnie to lose. If my three win & St Bonnie wins, I tie with Cooler. If either Houston or Harvard loses, then I think cykee05 wins. Confidence in these calculations rests on the hope that my brain is not total mush right now.
Preliminary results of Auto-Bid Madness 2019.
Tiebreakers apply only to decide overall champion, other ties are listed in alpha order.
If anyone notices inaccuracies, PM me and I will adjust. Thanks to everyone for participating!
1.
@cykee05 15
2.
@ImJustKCClone 13
@mdk2isu 13
4.
@CoKane 12
@coolerifyoudid 12
6.
@IlliniCy 11
@jereseib 11
@VeloClone 11
@ZB4CY 11
10.
@Cy$ 10
@gipper2001 10
12.
@riceville98 9
@1UNI2ISU 9
13.
@cyclones500 7
14.
@IworkwithCyclone500 5
CF Auto-Bid Madness champions, by year:
2019: @cykee05 (15 of 32)
2018: @CrossCyed (17 of 32)
2017: @ZB4CY (18 of 32)
2016: @gipper2001, @time4cy (tie, after 2 tiebreakers) (15 of 32)
2015: @CoKane (16 of 32)
2014: @cyclones500 (14 of 32)
Edit: Thanks to @ImJustKCClone for the alert, @cykee05 finished with 15 points, sted of 14.
Tiebreakers apply only to decide overall champion, other ties are listed in alpha order.
If anyone notices inaccuracies, PM me and I will adjust. Thanks to everyone for participating!
1.
@cykee05 15
2.
@ImJustKCClone 13
@mdk2isu 13
4.
@CoKane 12
@coolerifyoudid 12
6.
@IlliniCy 11
@jereseib 11
@VeloClone 11
@ZB4CY 11
10.
@Cy$ 10
@gipper2001 10
12.
@riceville98 9
@1UNI2ISU 9
13.
@cyclones500 7
14.
@IworkwithCyclone500 5
CF Auto-Bid Madness champions, by year:
2019: @cykee05 (15 of 32)
2018: @CrossCyed (17 of 32)
2017: @ZB4CY (18 of 32)
2016: @gipper2001, @time4cy (tie, after 2 tiebreakers) (15 of 32)
2015: @CoKane (16 of 32)
2014: @cyclones500 (14 of 32)
Edit: Thanks to @ImJustKCClone for the alert, @cykee05 finished with 15 points, sted of 14.
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Thanks!
Good point about cheating. I forget I have the power to manipulate the contest in my favor.
Thanks!
Good point about cheating. I forget I have the power to manipulate the contest in my favor.
