2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
Over a 5 year average (must have at least 3 years contributing) on Bracket Matrix, Lunardi is ranked 125 out of 186 contributors. Jerry Palm is even worse at 179. The talking heads are awful.
There needs to be a sticky or giant banner impossible to ignore on this site this time of year that says "Lunardi is an idiot , use Bracket Matrix"
I'm not worried about Purdue. Both teams would currently fail the eyeball-recency-bias test, but Iowa State has the head-to-head
You could be right. MSU has to.play Michigan how they play them will have an impact
So let's take MSU out of it who besides Tech isn't limping to finish line?
Florida has potentially played itself from a 3 to 1. Tech, as you said. Kansas is very volatile but will finish ahead of Iowa State in conference, has a better WAB, and always gets a brand boost. It's a small difference, but I think Houston and Illinois playing two cupcakes (Houston will have played three) to end the season will make them look like they're ascendant compared to Iowa State, who only plays one. If Nebraska wins out they could have a better WAB and NET ranking than Iowa State
This is really interesting. Are these Torvik? If only the committee would look at this to assess "recent" performance...
Different ways of looking at it. I don't think eyeball test is a huge difference especially against bad teams. Unless you lose of course
Again as long as Florida is not your 2, a 2 or 3 doesn't really make that much of a difference
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I am an old person. My goal in life is to have people stop quoting Lunardi, DeCourcy and the other celebrity bracketologists and start using Bracket Matrix.
I don't truly understand how they have jobs.
Lunardi is a complete dork that isn't even a good TV personality. You can overlook being bad to a certain extent if you at least deliver the message well. He does neither.
It's probably too late for Iowa State to do anything meaningful to secure a 2 seed - even with a win Saturday and Big 12 Tournament wins/championship. If the committee acts like conference tournaments aren't a big deal as we saw two years ago then here comes the 3 seed.
Aren’t we likely to get KU early in the tourney? A convincing win over them would likely place us above them, taking 2 of 3. The game would be early enough for the committee to pay attention.
If this team wins the Big 12 tournament, I think they'll be a 2 seed. We'd likely have to beat Kansas, Arizona, and Houston/Tech. That would most certainly do it.
Realistically, I think we are a 3 seed now because I don't see us winning 4 games in 4 days in KC against that level of opponents.
Crazy as it sounds, I can't imagine much will matter in KC. Basically the entire bracket is already finished before those games even take place.
I think alot of depends on how Illinois and MSU do this week. It looks like in all likely hood it will be ISU, Illinois, and MSU fighting for the last two 2 seeds.
Illinois is hosting Oregon and at Maryland.
MSU is hosting Rutgers, and at Michigan.
I can't imagine Illinois losing, but if they do, they are beyond cooked.
MSU will destroy Rutgers, but they got blown out at home against Michigan. Hopefully that happens again.
There are worse things than needing 2025-2026 Michigan to help you out. After what they did to an Illinois offense lightyears ahead of Michigan State's, I'm hopeful
I think this board is largely overreacting and we're probably a 2 seed if we beat ASU + 1 win in KC.
I think Lunardi started his schtick in the 90s when ESPN was still cool and since they have so little to do with the actual tournament they keep holding on for the name.
I think Tech just took themself off the 2 line discussion
They could lose at BYU too ..
That's college basketball
I really hope you're correct. Hopefully no one is relying on the eye test...because we've burnt a few retinas with our shooting percentages lately.
2nd hasn't started yet.
ASU us up 20 at half though.
They're Temu Cincinatti.
ISU will need to play well.
