Especially when we win 80-62
2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
They're kind of a fringe 'in the field' or 'bubble' team in the 9-11 seed range predictions I've seen. Finishing in the 8-10 range of the SEC. Will be a good test for us. I would take a one point win, but would love a 10+ point win.
They have an amazing guard Josh Hubbard.
Scorer/Slasher/passer/Free throw liner
After that……?????
That site is awesome!! Fun to look at and follow along with. Thanks
Torvik has it at 78-74 with a 64% chance to win. It will be a good test.
Having Tamin back and looking better than he has in two years helps me feel a lot better.
Torvik has them as a "last four bye" and a #10 seed right now.
Roughly the team you'd see in the first round of the NCAA tournament if you lean pessimistic for Iowa State this year and imagine more of a #6 or #7 seed than a #2 or #3 seed.
Miss St played North Alabama in their only game so far, and it was a 1 pt game at half before they ended up winning by 24.
Hubbard is a small guard (5'10", 180#) - will be a fascinating matchup with Lipsey/Toure. He's a Jr who averaged 19ppg last year, shooting 9+ 3s a game and hitting 35%. Definitely a volume shooter. Good FT shooter and got to the line 12 times in their first game - along with 3 threes, leading the team with 27 pts and 8 assists.
the SG is Jayden Epps (6'2"), a 4 year senior who played 1 year at Illinois and then started the last two years at Georgetown, averaging 18+ his soph year and 13 last year. Another volume shooter at 31% from 3 and under 40% from the field for his career. Only played 16 minutes and scored 5 points in their first game.
the other guard is Shawn Jones Jr (6'5") - a 4th yr Sr at Miss St, came off the bench until this year. A career 28% 3pt shooter
their center is 6th year transfer Quincy Ballard (6'11") - he was at FSU for 2 years and didn't play, before spending the last 3 at Wichita St, starting every game the last two years and leading the American Conf in FG% and Blocks both years.
the PF is a somewhat familiar face, Achor Achor (6'9"), who played 7 games for KSU last year. He's another 6th yr Sr, playing 2 years at a JUCO, 2 years at Samford and 1 (partial) year at KSU.
In the first game 5 players off the bench got 10+ minutes:
Ja'Borri McGhee (6'0") - played 2 years at JUCO and 1 at UAB. Shot 40+% from 3 at UAB last year on low volume
Jamarrion Davis-Fleming (6'10") - true freshman from Mississippi
Sergej Macura (6'9") - first year player from Serbia. Had 7 pts and 12 rbs in the first game
King Grace (6'5") - Top 100 (#65) freshman from Texas
Dellquan Warren (6'2") - Soph who didn't play much at as a frosh at Miss St.
Overall not much other than Hubbard returning from last year - a ton of experience in the starting 5 and a bunch of really young players off the bench.
Haslametrics has ISU 77 MSU 73
Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis
The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.
haslametrics.com
I’ll take Iowa State -4 for 2000 , AlexHaslametrics has ISU 77 MSU 73
Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis
The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.
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They've been bad but a terrible matchup for ISU especially on the perimeter at times.
And last year in Stillwater ISU had one of their games where they were just kind of in a fog along with iirc Jones being out sick.
To OSU's credit they also made plays and were the more urgent looking team.
Advanced box score from last night.
Lipsey, Buchanan, and Jefferson balled out.
Lipsey mostly from A/T ratio and dropping 25 on a pretty good TS% (63%).
Buchanan from a super high TS%, assists, not turning it over for a big man, and rebounds.
Jefferson from a high TS%, 6/7 from two, 6/7 from the line, and four assists.
Lipsey, Buchanan, and Jefferson balled out.
Lipsey mostly from A/T ratio and dropping 25 on a pretty good TS% (63%).
Buchanan from a super high TS%, assists, not turning it over for a big man, and rebounds.
Jefferson from a high TS%, 6/7 from two, 6/7 from the line, and four assists.
And Heise was right there too with the 143.5 offensive rating on 8 pts, 4 boards, 4 assists and 0 turnovers
His line doesn't leap off the screen for 27 minutes.
He was doing his job, though...
Play defense
Take advantage of the offensive opportunities Tamin and JJ create for you
Can't have too many good 3&D wings.
Complementary player that fits on just about any team even if not a star.
This TEAM (so far) looks to be very complimentary.
In the past it seems like roles weren’t defined, especially on offensive half court sets….which led to one man games and or chaos ending in dumb turnovers, or bad late shot clock possessions.
The spacing, flow, and attack seem very fluid and less stagnant than in previous TJ years.
I understand tougher defenses will come but so far I like what I see.
In the past it seems like roles weren’t defined, especially on offensive half court sets….which led to one man games and or chaos ending in dumb turnovers, or bad late shot clock possessions.
The spacing, flow, and attack seem very fluid and less stagnant than in previous TJ years.
I understand tougher defenses will come but so far I like what I see.
