NFL: 2024 Fantasy Football

[CYdTracked]

I think I'd go high upside with one of the qb picks (Williams or Daniels in the range you drafted in otherwise Richardson) then get a consistent vet on a good offense for the other (Purdy, Goff, Tua)

I probably waited too long to draft a QB so have to hope Purdy does well or someone on the waiver wire exceeds expectations. I wanted to draft Burrow in the 6th round but he went 6 picks before my pick. Probably should have taken Murray who went 2 picks after mine. Williams went in the 10th round Richardson 5th (too soon IMO) Daniels end of 9th. Tua and Goff went in the 12th round. I am not a fan of drafting a rookie QB which is why I avoided Williams and Daniels. Purdy has a much higher floor but possibly less ceiling them in the same round.

I strayed a bit from my usual strategy of sometimes reaching for a top 5 QB earlier in the draft, I was targeting that 6th or 7th round to get a top 10 guy and missed and was not interesting in Dak in the 8th so I basically had in my mind I would rather stock up on WR and RB depth and take Purdy if I missed on the guys I was hoping to get around 6 or 7th round. Still some guys on waivers I can take a shot on if Herbert looks bad like Stafford Rodgers Levis Nix and B Young. Purdy was QB6 in our league last year so I am comfortable hoping for another top 10 finish. One team has both Allen and Stroud that I would love to make a deal to get one as an upgrade but I'm going to let my WR and RB situation play out and hope I hit on more than I missed and hope to trade from depth if I need to upgrade somewhere.

 

[Gonzo]

Well that didn't go as planned. Happy with my draft, mostly, here's what I ended up with:

QB - Lamar Jackson
WR - AJ Brown
WR - Malik Nabers
RB - Josh Jacobs
RB - Rachaad White
TE - George Kittle
FL - Calvin Ridley
D - Tampa Bay
K - Greg Zuerlein
B - Chuba Hubbard (RB)
B - Romeo Doubs (WR)
B - Keon Coleman (WR)
B - Jonathon Brooks (RB)
B - Will Levis (QB)
B - Cole Kmet (TE)
B - MarShawn Lloyd (RB)
B - Tank Bigsby (RB)

So yeah, if I lose starters to injury, I'm pretty much dead. Lol. I ended up overpaying on a few guys that I really wanted, and wore my budget pretty thin by the time I had my starters drafted. There were a small handful of us who were really zeroed in on some of the same guys. I was hoping to get Lamar at around $20, got run up to $27. I wanted Rachaad White as my RB2 for around $20, price got run up to $30. Also wanted Mark Andrews as a pretty affordable TE at around $15, price went up to $27 and I bailed and took Kittle for $19. Very thin at RB, took a gamble on Brooks catching lightning, have Chuba as my RB3, and then got some solid handcuffs in Lloyd and Bigsby. Have a little more depth at WR, again rolled the dice on Nabers breaking out, as well as Coleman in Buffalo.

 

[cycloner29]

One of my four ESPN teams…

 

[CYdTracked]

One of my four ESPN teams…

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That is pretty solid, 10 team league I would guess?

 

[CYdTracked]

Well that didn't go as planned. Happy with my draft, mostly, here's what I ended up with:

QB - Lamar Jackson
WR - AJ Brown
WR - Malik Nabers
RB - Josh Jacobs
RB - Rachaad White
TE - George Kittle
FL - Calvin Ridley
D - Tampa Bay
K - Greg Zuerlein
B - Chuba Hubbard (RB)
B - Romeo Doubs (WR)
B - Keon Coleman (WR)
B - Jonathon Brooks (RB)
B - Will Levis (QB)
B - Cole Kmet (TE)
B - MarShawn Lloyd (RB)
B - Tank Bigsby (RB)

So yeah, if I lose starters to injury, I'm pretty much dead. Lol. I ended up overpaying on a few guys that I really wanted, and wore my budget pretty thin by the time I had my starters drafted. There were a small handful of us who were really zeroed in on some of the same guys. I was hoping to get Lamar at around $20, got run up to $27. I wanted Rachaad White as my RB2 for around $20, price got run up to $30. Also wanted Mark Andrews as a pretty affordable TE at around $15, price went up to $27 and I bailed and took Kittle for $19. Very thin at RB, took a gamble on Brooks catching lightning, have Chuba as my RB3, and then got some solid handcuffs in Lloyd and Bigsby. Have a little more depth at WR, again rolled the dice on Nabers breaking out, as well as Coleman in Buffalo.

This is why I stopped doing auction draft, even with a well thought out plan of who you want to target in a price range is tough to execute when the bidding gets crazy. Auction drafts can be fun but the league I was in was 12 team with 2 starting QB so our draft would take 3+ hours some years which I don't miss.

I took a gamble on Brooks late in my snake draft and stashed him on the IR, he has the potential to be a Breece Hall type of stash hopefully if Chuba doesn't lock down the job while he's out. I don't think you missed too bad going with Kittle over Andrews at those prices, Andrews has had a problem with staying healthy and they have Likely behind him that is gradually getting more of a roll too and likely would have top 5 TE potential if Andrews gets hurt again. For some reason some of the fantasy "experts" are down on White this year which I don't know why because he should get a ton of touches again this year.

 

[Gonzo]

One of my four ESPN teams…

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Nice, WRs a little underwhelming but your RBs are ridiculous. Also love Jackson at QB.

 

[Tailg8er]

Drafted 10th out of 12 in my normal snake PPR league. I was happy after the draft (though it WAS Saturday night after a day of tailgating..), but Yahoo gave me a D- and has me finishing last in the league.. TE & QB are a little weak, but manageable IMO. I'll exceed expectations like usual, I'm sure of it!

 

[cycloner29]

That is pretty solid, 10 team league I would guess?

yep

 

[CYdTracked]

Drafted 10th out of 12 in my normal snake PPR league. I was happy after the draft (though it WAS Saturday night after a day of tailgating..), but Yahoo gave me a D- and has me finishing last in the league.. TE & QB are a little weak, but manageable IMO. I'll exceed expectations like usual, I'm sure of it!

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I think you are fine at QB actually. Love going in the 10th round in a 12 team league? This is a good site that you can customize and get an idea of ADP for your league settings: Fantasy Football ADP 2024 - Average Draft Position (Updated) (draftsharks.com)

Not sure if you do PPR or not but just for comparison I set it to a 12 Team 1PPR ESPN. With that they have Love going 6.12 and Purdy 7.7 so technically you got Love 39 picks later than his ADP in an average league format and Brock about 9 picks later so right about where he usually got.

Just my opinions, Pacheco and Stevenson were 2 guy I had no desire to draft. I'm a Chiefs fan too but even with him being the clear RB1 with not much behind him I have a gut feeling KC is going to air it out a lot more this year in the passing game especially once Hollywood Brown gets healthy. I want no part in any New England player this year too. I do like Mixon this year in the Houston offense. I don't read too much into what grade Yahoo gives as it's usually some formula based on where you picked guys against their ADP so if you picked a guy way too soon compared to where he usually goes you won't be getting an A. I've had years where I got a D grade for a draft with a projection of like 3 or 4 wins and wound up going into the playoffs with a 1 or 2 seed. Granted I probably got a few waiver pickups and maybe a trade to help with that but sometimes getting a more balanced team will carry you even if you miss on drafting certain guys or some of your picks bust.

 

[Tailg8er]

I think you are fine at QB actually. Love going in the 10th round in a 12 team league? This is a good site that you can customize and get an idea of ADP for your league settings: Fantasy Football ADP 2024 - Average Draft Position (Updated) (draftsharks.com)

Not sure if you do PPR or not but just for comparison I set it to a 12 Team 1PPR ESPN. With that they have Love going 6.12 and Purdy 7.7 so technically you got Love 39 picks later than his ADP in an average league format and Brock about 9 picks later so right about where he usually got.

Just my opinions, Pacheco and Stevenson were 2 guy I had no desire to draft. I'm a Chiefs fan too but even with him being the clear RB1 with not much behind him I have a gut feeling KC is going to air it out a lot more this year in the passing game especially once Hollywood Brown gets healthy. I want no part in any New England player this year too. I do like Mixon this year in the Houston offense. I don't read too much into what grade Yahoo gives as it's usually some formula based on where you picked guys against their ADP so if you picked a guy way too soon compared to where he usually goes you won't be getting an A. I've had years where I got a D grade for a draft with a projection of like 3 or 4 wins and wound up going into the playoffs with a 1 or 2 seed. Granted I probably got a few waiver pickups and maybe a trade to help with that but sometimes getting a more balanced team will carry you even if you miss on drafting certain guys or some of your picks bust.

It is 1 PPR. I'm actually not a Chiefs fan (49ers bandwagon since Brock arrived), but like Pacheco for usage alone. He got like 60% of non-Mahomes carries last season with nearly 1,000 yards - even if they cut back on running, they can't abandon it completely. And he also got 44 targets last year, so useful in PPR. Stevenson had 600+ yds with 4 TD's splitting time with Zeke last season, and now Zeke is gone. Also got 51 targets, so again, useful for PPR.

Goedert was my biggest reach - knew it at the time, but he seemed like the only reliable guy left after a big run on TE's. Might have been able to wait a round or 2, but would have been mad if somebody took him as a 2nd TE before I could.

Overall I agree, don't really pay too much attention to their draft grades. I like my depth & could have some solid lineups most weeks. Fingers crossed!

 

[RedlineSi]

1pt PPR league. $200 auction and a keeper league.

My only question is, I can keep CMC for $75 this year. I don't plan on keeping anyone else.

Would you guys do that? I can try to drop him and have all $200 and see if he can be had less. I don't think he goes for less than $70 though.

 

[Gonzo]

1pt PPR league. $200 auction and a keeper league.

My only question is, I can keep CMC for $75 this year. I don't plan on keeping anyone else.

Would you guys do that? I can try to drop him and have all $200 and see if he can be had less. I don't think he goes for less than $70 though.

Hard to tell. I just had my auction draft last night and CMC went for $69. If it were me I'd probably let him go and not tie up $75 of my budget with one guy. For just a little bit more you could get a couple $40 RBs like Etienne, Williams, Gibbs, Pacheco, etc. I don't think you're going to get twice the value out of CMC than you will a guy like Etienne, so why pay twice? But that's JMO.

 

[RedlineSi]

Hard to tell. I just had my auction draft last night and CMC went for $69. If it were me I'd probably let him go and not tie up $75 of my budget with one guy. For just a little bit more you could get a couple $40 RBs like Etienne, Williams, Gibbs, Pacheco, etc. I don't think you're going to get twice the value out of CMC than you will a guy like Etienne, so why pay twice? But that's JMO.

You're prob right. Last year I think CMC would be worth $75. I worry about that 28 years of age, etc.

Leaning towards letting him go and having all $200 ready to fire.

 

[CYdTracked]

1pt PPR league. $200 auction and a keeper league.

My only question is, I can keep CMC for $75 this year. I don't plan on keeping anyone else.

Would you guys do that? I can try to drop him and have all $200 and see if he can be had less. I don't think he goes for less than $70 though.

You'd be committing 37.5% of your total budget to 1 guy. With his workload last year and his age you'd be banking that he's healthy and productive and not going to take a significant dip in production for 1 reason or the other. In a snake draft I'm drafting him round 1 if he's there or keeping him as he's just 1 pick and about 5% of your total draft picks in that format but in an auction you basically took yourself out of the running for possibly snagging 2 guys for roughly the same total $ that makes you deeper and gives your more total production.

It's hard for me to give solid advice on auction as every auction draft is going to go a different way than you can ever prepare for. I've gone the route of trying to get 2 or 3 expensive guys then lay in the weeds for some possible bargains and the downside to that is if one of those high priced guys under performs or gets hurt you usually are hurting for depth to replace him with because of that strategy. Or you let guys go nuts bidding then regret later that you didn't get more aggressive sooner. I've been in some auction drafts where a CMC player just goes for crazy money and you have to look back at the end of the year and see if those guys that bid big early were able to find enough depth to make up for missing out on the next tier or 2 of guys they couldn't afford. Had that problem myself in a 2 QB league before where I made sure I nabbed a top 5 QB and usually my 2 QB was in that 10-15 range and using up all that budget money to make sure I was set there I found it hard to competitively bid on upper end RB and WR. I've gone the route of trying to wait for cheaper options at QB in that format too and try to get 1 each of the top end RB and WR and with both strategies I always seem to come away disappointed with my drafts most years because for as good as 1 or 2 positions turned out I had big holes somewhere else as a result. Kind of way I prefer snake drafts now because you can build a roster based on best available player when you pick and not the randomness of getting into a bidding war sometimes because you all were targeting the same guy. You can still have a strategy going in to both formats that you want to target certain players but there are always those rounds in a snake draft where you look at what you have so far and your pick comes up and there is a guy you thought no way would be there when your pick came up that you get at a discount compared to their usual ADP.

 

[Gonzo]

You'd be committing 37.5% of your total budget to 1 guy. With his workload last year and his age you'd be banking that he's healthy and productive and not going to take a significant dip in production for 1 reason or the other. In a snake draft I'm drafting him round 1 if he's there or keeping him as he's just 1 pick and about 5% of your total draft picks in that format but in an auction you basically took yourself out of the running for possibly snagging 2 guys for roughly the same total $ that makes you deeper and gives your more total production.

It's hard for me to give solid advice on auction as every auction draft is going to go a different way than you can ever prepare for. I've gone the route of trying to get 2 or 3 expensive guys then lay in the weeds for some possible bargains and the downside to that is if one of those high priced guys under performs or gets hurt you usually are hurting for depth to replace him with because of that strategy. Or you let guys go nuts bidding then regret later that you didn't get more aggressive sooner. I've been in some auction drafts where a CMC player just goes for crazy money and you have to look back at the end of the year and see if those guys that bid big early were able to find enough depth to make up for missing out on the next tier or 2 of guys they couldn't afford. Had that problem myself in a 2 QB league before where I made sure I nabbed a top 5 QB and usually my 2 QB was in that 10-15 range and using up all that budget money to make sure I was set there I found it hard to competitively bid on upper end RB and WR. I've gone the route of trying to wait for cheaper options at QB in that format too and try to get 1 each of the top end RB and WR and with both strategies I always seem to come away disappointed with my drafts most years because for as good as 1 or 2 positions turned out I had big holes somewhere else as a result. Kind of way I prefer snake drafts now because you can build a roster based on best available player when you pick and not the randomness of getting into a bidding war sometimes because you all were targeting the same guy. You can still have a strategy going in to both formats that you want to target certain players but there are always those rounds in a snake draft where you look at what you have so far and your pick comes up and there is a guy you thought no way would be there when your pick came up that you get at a discount compared to their usual ADP.

That's one of the biggest things with auction drafts, and it's kind of what makes it fun IMO. I went into my draft with two strategies. I really wanted AJ Brown (had him last year) and if I could get him for no more than $60, then I'd budget $15ish for my WR2. If the price went way up on him, then my strategy was to just go with a couple of $30-$40 WRs and not go with an elite WR as my WR1. My first strategy worked out.

Biggest challenge for me is balancing my budget strategy with the equally important goal of just getting the guys I really want. That's why I overpaid on Rachaad White and Lamar Jackson. Really wanted those guys so I went after them and then had to settle for less proven depth and a shakier stable of backups.

 

[RedlineSi]

Yeah they go in many directions.

For example, I had CMC the last 2 years as a keeper. Last year I gave in and kept him for $70 and I was the best team in the league but lost in the championship.

 

[cycloner29]

Start with the fifth pick in our PPR 12 man league doing the snake all the way through.
Bijon was my first pick. Daniels and Goff in the 11th and 12 round. Four QBs went in the first two rounds.

 

[Freebird]

Start with the fifth pick in our PPR 12 man league doing the snake all the way through.
Bijon was my first pick. Daniels and Goff in the 11th and 12 round. Four QBs went in the first two rounds.

View attachment 133703

Solid. I have never understood taking up roster spots with backup kickers or TE's but maybe your league hordes at those positions.

 

[CYdTracked]

Start with the fifth pick in our PPR 12 man league doing the snake all the way through.
Bijon was my first pick. Daniels and Goff in the 11th and 12 round. Four QBs went in the first two rounds.

View attachment 133703

Pretty solid draft, don't see any glaring holes in your roster either as you have solid options across the board with a few guys with some upside too stashed.

Solid. I have never understood taking up roster spots with backup kickers or TE's but maybe your league hordes at those positions.

Me either, I just stream kickers and defenses and use my last 2 picks of the draft to fill those spots initially. Eventually after a few weeks you'll probably settle on a solid option both at K and DEF and neither position is worth using anything but your last 2 picks in the draft on IMO as there is not a huge point gap from week to week at those 2 spots unless you are in a super deep league where your only options are bottom half of the league. I've done leagues before where you had to draft individual defensive players too and that gets interesting because depending on how the scoring is setup linebackers that get a bunch of tackles sprinkled in with some sacks and interceptions too will start to come off the board once everyone gets comfortable with their main offensive players. Top DL/DE guys that get a lot of sacks will be targeted too. It definately adds another level of strategy when you have to factor in IDP but also means more time spent during the season setting lineups and making roster moves.

 

[AgronAlum]

Drafted 10th out of 12 in my normal snake PPR league. I was happy after the draft (though it WAS Saturday night after a day of tailgating..), but Yahoo gave me a D- and has me finishing last in the league.. TE & QB are a little weak, but manageable IMO. I'll exceed expectations like usual, I'm sure of it!

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Absolute banger of a team name. I also used that for a couple years but was never sure if anyone got the reference.