2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

rosshm16

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KSU players quit in their last game, they weren't playing hard near the end and OU was just making straightline drives to the basket and scoring with ease in the closing minutes. I'm real interested to see how they do at OSU on Saturday. OSU isn't very good but it's still a Big 12 road game.
 

CascadeClone

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Oct 24, 2009
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The real key in my mind is how they handle the losing streaks. Any team that rises to the occasion is going to have a chance to bounce back. Any team that sulks and gets divided is going to sink like a rock.
KSU seems pretty sulky right about now LOL. I could see Texas going that way except for games they take personal (e.g. Tech, ISU). Maybe Cincy will hang in there.

A lot of that depends on the coach - keeping the team together and motivated thru a rough patch, lest that rough patch becomes a death spiral.
 
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rochclone

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Cincy is good when I've watched them but just not quite there from a Big12 perspective. I think in the Big 10 or ACC they would have a good shot at the tournament
Lets be honest. Excluding Kansas and Houston which would win both leagues. Every other team besides Oklahoma State, West Virginia and UCF would finish at minimum in the Top 4 of the Big 10 & ACC.
 

Thomasrickj

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Feb 26, 2012
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Only Lunardi is worse.

Bracketology is less scientifically rigorous than astrology. Until march 1, its just an excuse to clickbait. And by then, you can just take your net, divide by 4, and figure plus/minus 1.
Lunardi is pretty bad. He's also got us as a 3 right now, which I am a big fan of. Kenpom has us at 13, so we are a 3/4 currently. Palm has us as a 5, which is low, but also not crazy. We just need to keep taking care of business. Beating Baylor on Saturday on the road would be huge to maybe push us into the top 10 on Kenpom.
 
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ebState

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Does anyone have the KP line for the Baylor game tomorrow? Looks like we've gone from a -0.1 favorite to -0.3 over the week according to BT.
 

Dale

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Does anyone have the KP line for the Baylor game tomorrow? Looks like we've gone from a -0.1 favorite to -0.3 over the week according to BT.
Not a KP subscriber, but working out the math, ISU would be about a half-point favorite on a neutral court, which puts them as maybe an underdog by 2.5 or 3 points in KP.
 

nrg4isu

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I just hope we can get 1 of the next 3 road games. Baylor, Texas, Cincy. And win at home against TCU (not at all a gimmie). Go 2-2 in the next 4 and I feel like we're holding course. Less than that and it'll feel like trending in the wrong direction.
2-2

Then 2 monster games against the current top 2 teams expected to win the B12.
1-1

I like how the last 5 setup... well, it's better than any other 5 game stretch we have all year *in conference* anyway.
4-1

That's how I feel we have to do this to get to 12-6 (not saying we do)
 
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qwerty

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I just hope we can get 1 of the next 3 road games. Baylor, Texas, Cincy. And win at home against TCU (not at all a gimmie). Go 2-2 in the next 4 and I feel like we're holding course. Less than that and it'll feel like trending in the wrong direction.
2-2

Then 2 monster games against the current top 2 teams expected to win the B12.
1-1

I like how the last 5 setup... well, it's better than any other 5 game stretch we have all year anyway.
4-1

That's how I feel we have to do this to get to 12-6 (not saying we do)
I don't know. The month of December wasn't exactly killer's row.

1706897796353.png
 

cyfan92

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Michigan St is in the field unless they slip up twice. Their schedule is quite easy the rest of the season, with the only Q1 opportunities at home to Illinois and @Purdue in March.

The B1G is really bad this year outside of the top 3, so MSU is REALLY going to benefit from that.
 

Sigmapolis

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10 inside the top 40 lmao

Top 40 count...

Big 12 = 10
SEC = 6
Big East = 4
Big Ten = 4
Pac-12 = 4
ACC = 3

= 31

Non-P6 party crashing...

#18 Dayton (A-10)
#19 New Mexico (MWC)
#20 Utah St. (MWC)
#21 St. Mary's (WCC)
#23 San Diego St. (MWC)
#24 Indiana St. (MVC)
#26 Gonzaga (WCC)
#29 Florida Atlantic (American)
#32 Colorado St. (MWC)

MWC = 4
WCC = 2
A-10 = 1
American = 1
MVC = 1

The MWC has as many top 40 teams as the Big East/Ten/Pac and more than the ACC.
 
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