We always gripe about other teams when they get high rankings for beating bad teams, but shoe is on the other hand now!
2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
LOL!
Torvik rankings filtering out all preseason effects right now.
Torvik rankings filtering out all preseason effects right now.
We've officially reached the summit of the TJ era! Anything that happens the rest of his career is just the icing on the cake.
So with #6 recruiting class, if we have a decent year this season we start all these models easily top 10 next year right?
I get starting low losing a guy who was by far leading rebounder/scorer. The other gains and losses really should be a push.
I get starting low losing a guy who was by far leading rebounder/scorer. The other gains and losses really should be a push.
A few notables after three games as we head into our first real challenge:
- #1 in the country for turnover % on defense at 35.7%
- #6 in the country in offensive rebound %. Obviously very early but a good sign. I went back through the years we haven't finished top 100 in that stat since 2014!!
- #309 in the country for 3pt shooting, unfortunately not unexpected as it was a preseason question mark of who would/could be the shooter.
- #1 in the country for turnover % on defense at 35.7%
- #6 in the country in offensive rebound %. Obviously very early but a good sign. I went back through the years we haven't finished top 100 in that stat since 2014!!
- #309 in the country for 3pt shooting, unfortunately not unexpected as it was a preseason question mark of who would/could be the shooter.
The computers didn't hate but didn't love the performance against UW-Milwaukee. This is still very preliminary, though, and I expect Portland is going to tell us a lot about this team --
For what it is worth, I think having Iowa State as a bubble team right now is fair. The defense and rebounding are hopefully legitimate, as is the full-court offense, but they are going to struggle to score in the half-court and Big 12 teams are going to pack it in and force shots over the top of the defense. With the current corps of shooters in the backcourt on the team, many of those shots are going to go awry.
For what it is worth, I think having Iowa State as a bubble team right now is fair. The defense and rebounding are hopefully legitimate, as is the full-court offense, but they are going to struggle to score in the half-court and Big 12 teams are going to pack it in and force shots over the top of the defense. With the current corps of shooters in the backcourt on the team, many of those shots are going to go awry.
Sign me up for 9-9 in conference right now. That would guarantee everything I need.
One thing I thought was interesting early on so far.. % of points coming off free throws. Obviously still very early but at least were getting to the line.
I think that says otherwise. Only 16% of our pts are coming from the line, and allowing 27% from the line.
Yup- you are right. I misread it!
Hey- at least we aren't fouling and putting teams at the line a ton! haha
Whole lotta green numbers on the chart, that's encouraging. I'd like to see our FT count go up this year, so far we've been hitting them at a higher clip iirc. We didn't hardly shoot any FTs last season at all, which was probably caused mainly by a lack of a major rim-attacker.
Big12 is going to be tough and the top 3 teams (Baylor, Texas, and Kansas) might sweep us as they look really good. BUT the middle to back end of the conference MIGHT be a little weaker this year so we could get some more wins there. I think the difference between tourney team and not is if Tamin can do something that makes teams have to guard him away from the basket. If Big12 teams can just sag the guy guarding him to the paint it's going to be really tough sledding.
I hope we continue crashing the offensive boards. Gonna need those cheapos to keep the points ticking up on the scoreboard. Ward and Osun done changed the game in that facet.
And we’re going to have plenty of opportunities for offensive rebounds it would appear so far.
He makes a lot of good things happen while he is out there. Very disruptive, and if he doesn't get the rebound, he's been great at tipping it out. I think he had at least three of those last night.
Also the more secondary possessions we get on offense, the more rested we are on defense.
They use 3 years input. We need next year to bury that 2 win season.
Help me understand this system, how can ISU be the #5 team in conference, #30 team in country, but a bubble team?
